Football · Spain Tercera Group 10 · 27/09, 12:00
Prediction: CD Utrera vs Atletico Onubense
Team pages: CD Utrera · Atletico Onubense
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.6Total
CD Utrera1.57
Atletico Onubense1.03
1X2
CD Utrera
Draw
Atletico Onubense
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
CD Utrera
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Atletico Onubense
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CD Utrera
2–2–2
Atletico Onubense
(6 last)
- CD Utrera0-0Atletico Onubense
- Atletico Onubense3-1CD Utrera
- CD Utrera3-0Atletico Onubense
- Atletico Onubense0-1CD Utrera
- CD Utrera1-1Atletico Onubense
- Atletico Onubense3-1CD Utrera
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CD Utrera 1558 · Atletico Onubense 1474
| CD Utrera | Draw | Atletico Onubense | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 28% | 23% |
| Market | 49% | 27% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.6 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Utrera (rating 1558 vs 1474).
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CD Utrera | Atletico Onubense | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.7 | 1.3 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.3 | 1.1 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 11/67/22% | 43/29/29% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3 | 1 / 2.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.4 | 4.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Utrera 2–2–2 Atletico Onubense
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/26 Spain Tercera Group 10 | CD Utrera | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Atletico Onubense |
| 14/12/25 Spain Tercera Group 10 | Atletico Onubense | 3-1 HT 0-1 | CD Utrera |
| 02/02/25 Spain Tercera Group 10 | CD Utrera | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Atletico Onubense |
| 22/09/24 Spain Tercera Group 10 | Atletico Onubense | 0-1 | CD Utrera |
| 24/03/18 Spain Tercera Group 10 | CD Utrera | 1-1 | Atletico Onubense |
| 05/11/17 Spain Tercera Group 10 | Atletico Onubense | 3-1 HT 2-0 | CD Utrera |
Standings · Spain Tercera Group 10
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dos Hermanas CF 1971 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 10 |
| 2 | Racing Portuense | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Real Betis C | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 7 |
| 4 | CD Utrera | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | CD Egabrense | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 6 |
| 6 | Xerez Deportivo FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Pozoblanco | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 8 | Cadiz Mirandilla | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 9 | AD Ceuta FC B | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 10 | UD Tomares | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 11 | Chiclana | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 12 | RB Linense | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 13 | Sevilla C | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 14 | Atletico Onubense | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| 15 | Conil CF | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| 16 | Bollullos CF | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| 17 | CD San Roque de Lepe | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| 18 | Cordoba B | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 1 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CD Utrera | Atletico Onubense |
|---|---|---|
| Pozoblanco | 2-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Conil CF | 2-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Dos Hermanas CF 1971 | 0-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Bollullos CF | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CD Utrera
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Pozoblanco Spain Tercera Group 10 |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 13/09 | Conil CF Spain Tercera Group 10 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | Dos Hermanas CF 1971 Spain Tercera Group 10 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 10/05 | Bollullos CF Spain Tercera Group 10 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 03/05 | Sevilla C Spain Tercera Group 10 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | RB Linense Spain Tercera Group 10 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 19/04 | Atletico Onubense Spain Tercera Group 10 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 12/04 | Pozoblanco Spain Tercera Group 10 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 05/04 | CD San Roque de Lepe Spain Tercera Group 10 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 01/04 | UD Tomares Spain Tercera Group 10 |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Atletico Onubense
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Real Betis C Spain Tercera Group 10 |
1-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | Pozoblanco Spain Tercera Group 10 |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 06/09 | Bollullos CF Spain Tercera Group 10 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 10/05 | Chiclana Spain Tercera Group 10 |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | Conil CF Spain Tercera Group 10 |
2-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Club Atletico Central Spain Tercera Group 10 |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 19/04 | CD Utrera Spain Tercera Group 10 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 12/04 | Dos Hermanas CF 1971 Spain Tercera Group 10 |
2-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 05/04 | Cadiz Mirandilla Spain Tercera Group 10 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 28/03 | Ciudad Lucena Spain Tercera Group 10 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CD Utrera vs Atletico Onubense?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Utrera win (49%). Probabilities: CD Utrera 49%, draw 27%, Atletico Onubense 24%.
How many goals are expected in CD Utrera vs Atletico Onubense?
The model expects 2.6 goals (CD Utrera 1.57 · Atletico Onubense 1.03), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in CD Utrera vs Atletico Onubense?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.