Football · Spain Tercera Group 10 · 06/09, 11:00

Prediction: Atletico Onubense vs Bollullos CF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.45Total

Atletico Onubense1.18

Bollullos CF1.28

1X2

33% 29% 38%

Atletico Onubense Draw Bollullos CF

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Atletico Onubense 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WLDLLDDWLW

Bollullos CF 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWDLLDWLWL

Head-to-head

Atletico Onubense 0–1–3 Bollullos CF (4 last)

Bollullos CF2-0Atletico Onubense
Atletico Onubense1-3Bollullos CF
Bollullos CF1-1Atletico Onubense
Atletico Onubense0-2Bollullos CF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Atletico Onubense 1475 · Bollullos CF 1494

	Atletico Onubense	Draw	Bollullos CF
Our model	33%	30%	38%
Market	33%	29%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 2.45 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Bollullos CF: 3-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Atletico Onubense	Bollullos CF
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.3	1 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.6	0.2 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	29/43/29%	17/33/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3	4.3 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.3	5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.70

X3.10

22.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.05

2 (0)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.98

Under 2.251.82

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
13:59 +26’	2.70	3.10	2.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico Onubense 0–1–3 Bollullos CF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/03/26 Spain Tercera Group 10	Bollullos CF	2-0 HT 1-0	Atletico Onubense
08/11/25 Spain Tercera Group 10	Atletico Onubense	1-3 HT 0-1	Bollullos CF
19/01/25 Spain Tercera Group 10	Bollullos CF	1-1	Atletico Onubense
08/09/24 Spain Tercera Group 10	Atletico Onubense	0-2	Bollullos CF

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 10

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	AD Ceuta FC B	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Atletico Onubense	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Bollullos CF	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Cadiz Mirandilla	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CD Egabrense	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Pozoblanco	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CD San Roque de Lepe	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CD Utrera	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Chiclana	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Conil CF	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Cordoba B	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Dos Hermanas CF 1971	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Racing Portuense	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	RB Linense	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Betis Deportivo C	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sevilla C	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	UD Tomares	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Xerez Deportivo FC	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Atletico Onubense	Bollullos CF
Club Atletico Central	2-1 W	0-2 L
CD Utrera	0-0 D	1-2 L
Dos Hermanas CF 1971	2-2 D	2-1 W
Cadiz Mirandilla	0-1 L	2-2 D
Ciudad Lucena	1-3 L	0-1 L
Sevilla C	2-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Atletico Onubense

WLDLLDDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/05	Chiclana Spain Tercera Group 10	–	2-1	–	–	W
03/05	Conil CF Spain Tercera Group 10	2-1	2-3	1	3	L
26/04	Club Atletico Central Spain Tercera Group 10	–	2-1	–	–	W
19/04	CD Utrera Spain Tercera Group 10	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
12/04	Dos Hermanas CF 1971 Spain Tercera Group 10	2-0	2-2	1	5	D
05/04	Cadiz Mirandilla Spain Tercera Group 10	0-0	0-1	4	3	L
28/03	Ciudad Lucena Spain Tercera Group 10	1-2	1-3	3	6	L
25/03	Castilleja CF Spain Tercera Group 10	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
22/03	Bollullos CF Spain Tercera Group 10	0-1	0-2	4	4	L
15/03	Sevilla C Spain Tercera Group 10	–	2-0	–	–	W

Bollullos CF

LWDLLDWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/05	Club Atletico Central Spain Tercera Group 10	–	0-2	–	–	L
17/05	Club Atletico Central Spain Tercera Group 10	0-0	1-0	3	6	W
10/05	CD Utrera Spain Tercera Group 10	1-0	1-2	6	5	L
03/05	Dos Hermanas CF 1971 Spain Tercera Group 10	–	2-1	–	–	W
26/04	Cadiz Mirandilla Spain Tercera Group 10	–	2-2	–	–	D
18/04	Ciudad Lucena Spain Tercera Group 10	0-1	0-1	0	3	L
12/04	UD Tomares Spain Tercera Group 10	0-1	1-3	5	8	L
05/04	Sevilla C Spain Tercera Group 10	0-0	1-1	12	4	D
01/04	Cordoba B Spain Tercera Group 10	–	2-1	–	–	W
28/03	RB Linense Spain Tercera Group 10	0-2	0-2	7	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Atletico Onubense vs Bollullos CF?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Bollullos CF win (38%). Probabilities: Atletico Onubense 33%, draw 29%, Bollullos CF 38%.

How many goals are expected in Atletico Onubense vs Bollullos CF?

The model expects 2.45 goals (Atletico Onubense 1.18 · Bollullos CF 1.28), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Atletico Onubense vs Bollullos CF?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.