Football · Spain Tercera Group 8 · 07/11, 16:00

Prediction: Unionistas de Salamanca CF B vs Mirandes B

Team pages: Unionistas de Salamanca CF B · Mirandes B

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.28Total

Unionistas de Salamanca CF B1.26

Mirandes B1.02

1X2

41% 30% 29%

Unionistas de Salamanca CF B Draw Mirandes B

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Unionistas de Salamanca CF B 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Mirandes B 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Unionistas de Salamanca CF B 0–2 Mirandes B (2 last)

Unionistas de Salamanca CF B1-2Mirandes B
Mirandes B3-1Unionistas de Salamanca CF B

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Unionistas de Salamanca CF B 1436 · Mirandes B 1436

	Unionistas de Salamanca CF B	Draw	Mirandes B
Our model	40%	31%	29%
Market	41%	29%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.28 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Mirandes B: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Unionistas de Salamanca CF B	Mirandes B
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.5	0.6 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.4	0.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	11/67/22%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4	2 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.2 / 0.3	3.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.10

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.05

Under 2.251.75

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.15

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 21:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.15▼	Bet365 2.15
X	3.10 → 3.10	Pinn 3.21
2	2.55 → 3.00▲	Pinn 3.14 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.1% Pinnacle margin 9.9%

Time*	1	X	2
14:10 +8’	2.50	3.10	2.55
21:05 +3’	2.15▼	3.10	3.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:13 +74’	2.21	3.00	3.20
11:28 +18’	2.13▼	3.21▲	3.14▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Unionistas de Salamanca CF B 0–0–2 Mirandes B

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Spain Tercera Group 8	Unionistas de Salamanca CF B	1-2 HT 1-1	Mirandes B
06/12/25 Spain Tercera Group 8	Mirandes B	3-1 HT 0-1	Unionistas de Salamanca CF B

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 8

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cristo Atletico	9	7	1	1	14	4	22
2	Burgos Promesas	9	6	2	1	15	3	20
3	Cultural Leonesa B	9	6	2	1	14	6	20
4	UD Santa Marta	9	6	2	1	13	6	20
5	CD Virgen Del Camino	9	5	1	3	11	11	16
6	At. Bembibre	9	4	3	2	11	9	15
7	CDA Palencia	9	4	2	3	14	9	14
8	Guijuelo	8	4	1	3	14	8	13
9	Almazan	9	3	4	2	14	14	13
10	CD Atletico Mansilles	8	3	3	2	10	8	12
11	Arandina	9	2	5	2	13	14	11
12	Villaralbo	9	2	4	3	14	12	10
13	Turegano CF	9	1	5	3	10	13	8
14	CD Calasanz de Soria	9	2	1	6	8	16	7
15	Unionistas de Salamanca CF B	9	1	2	6	8	15	5
16	CD Colegios Diocesanos	9	1	2	6	6	16	5
17	Salamanca B	9	1	1	7	7	23	4
18	Mirandes B	9	0	3	6	2	11	3

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Unionistas de Salamanca CF B	Mirandes B
CD Virgen Del Camino	1-2 L	0-0 D
Guijuelo	0-1 L	0-2 L
CD Atletico Mansilles	2-1 W	0-1 L
At. Bembibre	1-2 L	1-1 D
Almazan	1-2 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 4 L	0 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Unionistas de Salamanca CF B (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Unionistas de Salamanca CF B

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	CD Virgen Del Camino Spain Tercera Group 8	1-0	1-2	1	6	L
25/10	Guijuelo Spain Tercera Group 8	0-1	0-1	6	3	L
17/10	CD Atletico Mansilles Spain Tercera Group 8	–	2-1	–	–	W
10/10	At. Bembibre Spain Tercera Group 8	1-0	1-2	3	7	L
04/10	Cristo Atletico Spain Tercera Group 8	0-1	0-3	6	3	L
26/09	Turegano CF Spain Tercera Group 8	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
19/09	CD Calasanz Spain Tercera Group 8	–	2-3	–	–	L
12/09	Salamanca B Spain Tercera Group 8	–	1-1	3	8	D
06/09	Almazan Spain Tercera Group 8	–	1-2	–	–	L
10/05	Numancia B Spain Tercera Group 8	–	1-0	–	–	W

Mirandes B

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Almazan Spain Tercera Group 8	0-1	0-2	2	2	L
24/10	CD Virgen Del Camino Spain Tercera Group 8	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
18/10	UD Santa Marta Spain Tercera Group 8	0-0	0-0	1	6	D
10/10	Guijuelo Spain Tercera Group 8	0-2	0-2	8	5	L
03/10	Burgos Promesas Spain Tercera Group 8	1-1	1-2	6	2	L
27/09	CD Atletico Mansilles Spain Tercera Group 8	–	0-1	–	–	L
20/09	Cultural Leonesa B Spain Tercera Group 8	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
13/09	At. Bembibre Spain Tercera Group 8	0-0	1-1	7	5	D
06/09	CDA Palencia Spain Tercera Group 8	0-0	0-2	2	3	L
09/05	Villaralbo Spain Tercera Group 8	3-0	4-2	4	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Unionistas de Salamanca CF B vs Mirandes B?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Unionistas de Salamanca CF B win (41%). Probabilities: Unionistas de Salamanca CF B 41%, draw 30%, Mirandes B 29%.

How many goals are expected in Unionistas de Salamanca CF B vs Mirandes B?

The model expects 2.28 goals (Unionistas de Salamanca CF B 1.26 · Mirandes B 1.02), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Unionistas de Salamanca CF B vs Mirandes B?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.