Football · Spain Tercera Group 8 · 14/11, 16:00

Prediction: Unionistas de Salamanca CF B vs Arandina

Team pages: Unionistas de Salamanca CF B · Arandina

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.67Total

Unionistas de Salamanca CF B1.33

Arandina1.33

1X2

36% 28% 36%

Unionistas de Salamanca CF B Draw Arandina

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Unionistas de Salamanca CF B 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Arandina 2-6-2 (W-D-L)

LDWWDLDDDD

Head-to-head

Unionistas de Salamanca CF B 0–1–1 Arandina (2 last)

Unionistas de Salamanca CF B2-2Arandina
Arandina2-1Unionistas de Salamanca CF B

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Unionistas de Salamanca CF B 1456 · Arandina 1500

	Unionistas de Salamanca CF B	Draw	Arandina
Our model	36%	28%	36%
Market	36%	28%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 2.67 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arandina (rating 1456 vs 1500).
Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Unionistas de Salamanca CF B	Arandina
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.5	1.3 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.3	1.5 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/17/33%	50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.6	1 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.3	4.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.20

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.82

Under 2.251.98

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 14:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.50▲	Bet365 2.50
X	3.10 → 3.20▲	Bet365 3.20
2	2.80 → 2.50▼	Pinn 2.84 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 9.8%

Time*	1	X	2
17:09 +2’	2.30	3.10	2.80
13:38 +36’	2.50▲	3.20▲	2.50▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:02 +11’	2.44	2.98	2.84

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.25

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Unionistas de Salamanca CF B 0–1–1 Arandina

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/02/26 Spain Tercera Group 8	Unionistas de Salamanca CF B	2-2 HT 0-1	Arandina
12/10/25 Spain Tercera Group 8	Arandina	2-1	Unionistas de Salamanca CF B

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 8

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	UD Santa Marta	10	7	2	1	18	6	23
2	Cristo Atletico	10	7	2	1	14	4	23
3	Cultural Leonesa B	10	6	3	1	14	6	21
4	Burgos Promesas	10	6	2	2	15	5	20
5	CDA Palencia	10	5	2	3	16	9	17
6	CD Virgen Del Camino	10	5	2	3	11	11	17
7	Almazan	10	4	4	2	17	15	16
8	At. Bembibre	10	4	3	3	11	11	15
9	Villaralbo	10	3	4	3	16	12	13
10	Guijuelo	9	4	1	4	14	10	13
11	CD Atletico Mansilles	9	3	4	2	12	10	13
12	Arandina	10	2	6	2	13	14	12
13	Turegano CF	10	2	5	3	12	13	11
14	Unionistas de Salamanca CF B	10	2	2	6	9	15	8
15	CD Calasanz de Soria	10	2	1	7	8	21	7
16	CD Colegios Diocesanos	10	1	3	6	8	18	6
17	Salamanca B	10	1	1	8	8	26	4
18	Mirandes B	10	0	3	7	2	12	3

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Unionistas de Salamanca CF B	Arandina
CD Virgen Del Camino	1-2 L	0-0 D
Guijuelo	0-1 L	2-2 D
CD Atletico Mansilles	2-1 W	2-2 D
At. Bembibre	1-2 L	1-1 D
Cristo Atletico	0-3 L	1-3 L
Turegano CF	0-0 D	1-1 D
Salamanca B	1-1 D	4-3 W
Almazan	1-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 5 L	1 W 6 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Arandina (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Unionistas de Salamanca CF B

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Mirandes B Spain Tercera Group 8	1-0	1-0	1	3	W
31/10	CD Virgen Del Camino Spain Tercera Group 8	1-0	1-2	1	6	L
25/10	Guijuelo Spain Tercera Group 8	0-1	0-1	6	3	L
17/10	CD Atletico Mansilles Spain Tercera Group 8	–	2-1	–	–	W
10/10	At. Bembibre Spain Tercera Group 8	1-0	1-2	3	7	L
04/10	Cristo Atletico Spain Tercera Group 8	0-1	0-3	6	3	L
26/09	Turegano CF Spain Tercera Group 8	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
19/09	CD Calasanz de Soria Spain Tercera Group 8	–	2-3	–	–	L
12/09	Salamanca B Spain Tercera Group 8	–	1-1	3	8	D
06/09	Almazan Spain Tercera Group 8	–	1-2	–	–	L

Arandina

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	CD Virgen Del Camino Spain Tercera Group 8	–	0-0	–	–	D
01/11	Guijuelo Spain Tercera Group 8	–	2-2	–	–	D
24/10	CD Atletico Mansilles Spain Tercera Group 8	–	2-2	–	–	D
17/10	At. Bembibre Spain Tercera Group 8	1-0	1-1	4	5	D
10/10	Cristo Atletico Spain Tercera Group 8	–	1-3	–	–	L
03/10	Turegano CF Spain Tercera Group 8	–	1-1	–	–	D
26/09	CD Calasanz Spain Tercera Group 8	–	1-0	–	–	W
20/09	Salamanca B Spain Tercera Group 8	2-2	4-3	4	4	W
12/09	Almazan Spain Tercera Group 8	–	1-1	–	–	D
05/09	UD Santa Marta Spain Tercera Group 8	–	0-1	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Unionistas de Salamanca CF B vs Arandina?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Unionistas de Salamanca CF B win (36%). Probabilities: Unionistas de Salamanca CF B 36%, draw 28%, Arandina 36%.

How many goals are expected in Unionistas de Salamanca CF B vs Arandina?

The model expects 2.67 goals (Unionistas de Salamanca CF B 1.33 · Arandina 1.33), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Unionistas de Salamanca CF B vs Arandina?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.