Football · Spain Tercera Group 8 · 07/11, 16:00

Prediction: CD Colegios Diocesanos vs CD Atletico Mansilles

Team pages: CD Colegios Diocesanos · CD Atletico Mansilles

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.04Total

CD Colegios Diocesanos0.9

CD Atletico Mansilles1.14

1X2

27% 33% 40%

CD Colegios Diocesanos Draw CD Atletico Mansilles

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 67% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

CD Colegios Diocesanos 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLDLWLLD

CD Atletico Mansilles 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LDWDWWLLDD

Head-to-head

CD Colegios Diocesanos 0–2 CD Atletico Mansilles (2 last)

CD Atletico Mansilles1-0CD Colegios Diocesanos
CD Colegios Diocesanos1-2CD Atletico Mansilles

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Atletico Mansilles (rating 1413 vs 1505).
H2H favours CD Atletico Mansilles: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Colegios Diocesanos	CD Atletico Mansilles
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.8	1.1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.8	0.5 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 4.6	0 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0	2.5 / 1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 21.92

Under 21.84

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:17

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.95 → 2.95	Pinn 2.95
X	3.10 → 3.10	Pinn 3.10
2	2.29 → 2.29	Pinn 2.29

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.8%

Time*	1	X	2
05:29 +47’	2.95	3.10	2.29

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Colegios Diocesanos 0–0–2 CD Atletico Mansilles

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/01/26 Spain Tercera Group 8	CD Atletico Mansilles	1-0	CD Colegios Diocesanos
20/09/25 Spain Tercera Group 8	CD Colegios Diocesanos	1-2	CD Atletico Mansilles

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 8

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cristo Atletico	9	7	1	1	14	4	22
2	Burgos Promesas	9	6	2	1	15	3	20
3	Cultural Leonesa B	9	6	2	1	14	6	20
4	UD Santa Marta	9	6	2	1	13	6	20
5	CD Virgen Del Camino	9	5	1	3	11	11	16
6	At. Bembibre	9	4	3	2	11	9	15
7	CDA Palencia	9	4	2	3	14	9	14
8	Guijuelo	8	4	1	3	14	8	13
9	Almazan	9	3	4	2	14	14	13
10	CD Atletico Mansilles	8	3	3	2	10	8	12
11	Arandina	9	2	5	2	13	14	11
12	Villaralbo	9	2	4	3	14	12	10
13	Turegano CF	9	1	5	3	10	13	8
14	CD Calasanz de Soria	9	2	1	6	8	16	7
15	Unionistas de Salamanca CF B	9	1	2	6	8	15	5
16	CD Colegios Diocesanos	9	1	2	6	6	16	5
17	Salamanca B	9	1	1	7	7	23	4
18	Mirandes B	9	0	3	6	2	11	3

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Colegios Diocesanos	CD Atletico Mansilles
At. Bembibre	1-1 D	2-0 W
Cristo Atletico	0-2 L	1-1 D
Turegano CF	2-3 L	2-1 W
Cultural Leonesa B	0-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: CD Atletico Mansilles (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Colegios Diocesanos

LLLLDLWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	At. Bembibre Spain Tercera Group 8	0-1	1-1	4	5	D
24/10	Cristo Atletico Spain Tercera Group 8	0-1	0-2	7	5	L
17/10	Turegano CF Spain Tercera Group 8	1-1	2-3	4	3	L
11/10	CD Calasanz Spain Tercera Group 8	–	2-0	–	–	W
03/10	Salamanca B Spain Tercera Group 8	–	0-1	–	–	L
27/09	Almazan Spain Tercera Group 8	–	1-1	–	–	D
20/09	UD Santa Marta Spain Tercera Group 8	–	0-3	–	–	L
12/09	Burgos Promesas Spain Tercera Group 8	–	0-3	7	6	L
06/09	Cultural Leonesa B Spain Tercera Group 8	0-0	0-2	1	6	L
10/05	Cristo Atletico Spain Tercera Group 8	–	1-2	–	–	L

CD Atletico Mansilles

LDWDWWLLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Villaralbo Spain Tercera Group 8	–	1-1	–	–	D
24/10	Arandina Spain Tercera Group 8	–	2-2	–	–	D
17/10	Unionistas de Salamanca CF B Spain Tercera Group 8	–	1-2	–	–	L
10/10	CD Virgen Del Camino Spain Tercera Group 8	–	0-1	–	–	L
27/09	Mirandes B Spain Tercera Group 8	–	1-0	–	–	W
20/09	At. Bembibre Spain Tercera Group 8	0-0	2-0	5	4	W
12/09	Cristo Atletico Spain Tercera Group 8	–	1-1	–	–	D
05/09	Turegano CF Spain Tercera Group 8	–	2-1	–	–	W
10/05	Cultural Leonesa B Spain Tercera Group 8	1-0	1-1	4	3	D
02/05	CD Mojados Spain Tercera Group 8	–	0-1	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Colegios Diocesanos vs CD Atletico Mansilles?

According to our model, the most likely result is an CD Atletico Mansilles win (40%). Probabilities: CD Colegios Diocesanos 27%, draw 33%, CD Atletico Mansilles 40%.

How many goals are expected in CD Colegios Diocesanos vs CD Atletico Mansilles?

The model expects 2.04 goals (CD Colegios Diocesanos 0.9 · CD Atletico Mansilles 1.14), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Colegios Diocesanos vs CD Atletico Mansilles?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.