Football · Spain Tercera Group 8 · 07/11, 16:30

Prediction: Cultural Leonesa B vs Cristo Atletico

Team pages: Cultural Leonesa B · Cristo Atletico

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.04Total

Cultural Leonesa B1.02

Cristo Atletico1.03

1X2

34% 31% 35%

Cultural Leonesa B Draw Cristo Atletico

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 66% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Cultural Leonesa B 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

DWWWDLWWWD

Cristo Atletico 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WLDWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Cultural Leonesa B 1–2–3 Cristo Atletico (6 last)

Cristo Atletico1-0Cultural Leonesa B
Cultural Leonesa B2-1Cristo Atletico
Cultural Leonesa B2-3Cristo Atletico
Cristo Atletico1-1Cultural Leonesa B
Cristo Atletico1-1Cultural Leonesa B
Cultural Leonesa B0-2Cristo Atletico

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cultural Leonesa B 1553 · Cristo Atletico 1581

	Cultural Leonesa B	Draw	Cristo Atletico
Our model	33%	33%	34%
Market	35%	30%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 2.04 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Cristo Atletico: 3-2-1.
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cultural Leonesa B	Cristo Atletico
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 0.7	1.6 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.4	0.8 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	11/56/33%	83/0/17%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.6	3.8 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.2	6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.60

X3.00

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.93

2 (0)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 21.85

Under 21.95

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.15

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 00:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.90 → 2.60▼	Pinn 2.65
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	2.30 → 2.55▲	Pinn 2.76 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11% Pinnacle margin 9.8%

Time*	1	X	2
12:55 +22’	2.90	3.00	2.30
00:05 +7’	2.60▼	3.00	2.55▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:41 +47’	2.65	2.79	2.76

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Cultural Leonesa B 1–2–3 Cristo Atletico

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Spain Tercera Group 8	Cristo Atletico	1-0 HT 0-0	Cultural Leonesa B
13/12/25 Spain Tercera Group 8	Cultural Leonesa B	2-1	Cristo Atletico
01/05/25 Spain Tercera Group 8	Cultural Leonesa B	2-3 HT 0-2	Cristo Atletico
21/12/24 Spain Tercera Group 8	Cristo Atletico	1-1 HT 0-1	Cultural Leonesa B
13/04/24 Spain Tercera Group 8	Cristo Atletico	1-1 HT 1-0	Cultural Leonesa B
25/11/23 Spain Tercera Group 8	Cultural Leonesa B	0-2 HT 0-0	Cristo Atletico

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 8

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cristo Atletico	9	7	1	1	14	4	22
2	Burgos Promesas	9	6	2	1	15	3	20
3	Cultural Leonesa B	9	6	2	1	14	6	20
4	UD Santa Marta	9	6	2	1	13	6	20
5	CD Virgen Del Camino	9	5	1	3	11	11	16
6	At. Bembibre	9	4	3	2	11	9	15
7	CDA Palencia	9	4	2	3	14	9	14
8	Guijuelo	8	4	1	3	14	8	13
9	Almazan	9	3	4	2	14	14	13
10	CD Atletico Mansilles	8	3	3	2	10	8	12
11	Arandina	9	2	5	2	13	14	11
12	Villaralbo	9	2	4	3	14	12	10
13	Turegano CF	9	1	5	3	10	13	8
14	CD Calasanz de Soria	9	2	1	6	8	16	7
15	Unionistas de Salamanca CF B	9	1	2	6	8	15	5
16	CD Colegios Diocesanos	9	1	2	6	6	16	5
17	Salamanca B	9	1	1	7	7	23	4
18	Mirandes B	9	0	3	6	2	11	3

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cultural Leonesa B	Cristo Atletico
CDA Palencia	1-0 W	1-0 W
CD Colegios Diocesanos	2-0 W	2-0 W
CD Atletico Mansilles	1-1 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 0 L	2 W 1 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cultural Leonesa B

DWWWDLWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Turegano CF Spain Tercera Group 8	0-1	1-1	11	6	D
25/10	CD Calasanz de Soria Spain Tercera Group 8	2-0	2-1	5	7	W
17/10	Salamanca B Spain Tercera Group 8	0-0	2-0	9	2	W
10/10	Almazan Spain Tercera Group 8	–	5-2	–	–	W
04/10	UD Santa Marta Spain Tercera Group 8	0-2	0-2	7	6	L
27/09	Burgos Promesas Spain Tercera Group 8	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
20/09	Mirandes B Spain Tercera Group 8	0-0	1-0	1	5	W
13/09	CDA Palencia Spain Tercera Group 8	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
06/09	CD Colegios Diocesanos Spain Tercera Group 8	0-0	2-0	7	6	W
10/05	CD Atletico Mansilles Spain Tercera Group 8	0-1	1-1	4	3	D

Cristo Atletico

WLDWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	CDA Palencia Spain Tercera Group 8	1-0	1-0	6	10	W
24/10	CD Colegios Diocesanos Spain Tercera Group 8	1-0	2-0	7	5	W
18/10	Villaralbo Spain Tercera Group 8	1-0	2-0	5	5	W
10/10	Arandina Spain Tercera Group 8	–	3-1	–	–	W
04/10	Unionistas de Salamanca CF B Spain Tercera Group 8	1-0	3-0	3	3	W
26/09	CD Virgen Del Camino Spain Tercera Group 8	–	1-0	–	–	W
20/09	Guijuelo Spain Tercera Group 8	1-0	1-0	4	7	W
12/09	CD Atletico Mansilles Spain Tercera Group 8	–	1-1	–	–	D
05/09	At. Bembibre Spain Tercera Group 8	0-1	0-2	9	7	L
10/05	CD Colegios Diocesanos Spain Tercera Group 8	–	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cultural Leonesa B vs Cristo Atletico?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Cristo Atletico win (35%). Probabilities: Cultural Leonesa B 34%, draw 31%, Cristo Atletico 35%.

How many goals are expected in Cultural Leonesa B vs Cristo Atletico?

The model expects 2.04 goals (Cultural Leonesa B 1.02 · Cristo Atletico 1.03), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Cultural Leonesa B vs Cristo Atletico?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.