Football · Indonesia Super League · 10/10, 14:00
Prediction: Bali United vs Persijap Jepara
Team pages: Bali United · Persijap Jepara
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.47Total
Bali United1.69
Persijap Jepara0.78
1X2
Bali United
Draw
Persijap Jepara
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Bali United
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Persijap Jepara
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bali United
1–1–0
Persijap Jepara
(2 last)
- Bali United0-0Persijap Jepara
- Persijap Jepara1-2Bali United
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bali United 1526 · Persijap Jepara 1473
| Bali United | Draw | Persijap Jepara | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 26% | 16% |
| Market | 60% | 22% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.47 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bali United (rating 1526 vs 1473).
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bali United | Persijap Jepara | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.2 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.5 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.3 | 2.3 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.4 | 4.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bali United 1–1–0 Persijap Jepara
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/26 Indonesia Super League | Bali United | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Persijap Jepara |
| 19/10/25 Indonesia Super League | Persijap Jepara | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Bali United |
Standings · Indonesia Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dewa United FC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Madura United | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | Persija Jakarta | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 4 | Borneo FC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Persib Bandung | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Bali United | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Bhayangkara FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
| 8 | Persebaya Surabaya | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 9 | Arema FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 5 |
| 10 | Persita Tangerang | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
| 11 | Persik Kediri | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 12 | PSM Makassar | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 2 |
| 13 | Garudayaksa | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 14 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 15 | PSS Sleman | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 | Persijap Jepara | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 | Java United FC | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 | Isenmulang Kalteng FC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | -2 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bali United | Persijap Jepara |
|---|---|---|
| Borneo FC | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Dewa United FC | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Madura United | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Persita Tangerang | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Persib Bandung | 2-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 0 D 4 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bali United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Borneo FC Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 04/09 | PSS Sleman Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 22/05 | Dewa United FC Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 17/05 | Bhayangkara FC Indonesia Super League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 11/05 | Borneo FC Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 05/05 | Madura United Indonesia Super League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 14 | 2 | L |
| 27/04 | PSM Makassar Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 23/04 | Persita Tangerang Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 19/04 | Java United FC Indonesia Super League |
1-1 | 4-1 | 0 | 7 | W |
| 12/04 | Persib Bandung Indonesia Super League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | L |
Persijap Jepara
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Persib Bandung Indonesia Super League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | Borneo FC Indonesia Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | Madura United Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Persib Bandung Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 17/05 | Borneo FC Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 10/05 | Persita Tangerang Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 04/05 | Persija Jakarta Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 29/04 | Dewa United FC Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 24/04 | PSBS Biak Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 20/04 | Semen Padang Indonesia Super League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bali United vs Persijap Jepara?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Bali United win (59%). Probabilities: Bali United 59%, draw 24%, Persijap Jepara 17%.
How many goals are expected in Bali United vs Persijap Jepara?
The model expects 2.47 goals (Bali United 1.69 · Persijap Jepara 0.78), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Bali United vs Persijap Jepara?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.