Football · Spain Tercera Group 5 · 15/11, 12:00

Prediction: Cerdanyola del Valles FC vs CP San Cristobal

Team pages: Cerdanyola del Valles FC · CP San Cristobal

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.44Total

Cerdanyola del Valles FC1.57

CP San Cristobal0.86

1X2

53% 27% 20%

Cerdanyola del Valles FC Draw CP San Cristobal

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Cerdanyola del Valles FC 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DLWDLDWWDW

CP San Cristobal 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

DLWLWLDLLL

Head-to-head

Cerdanyola del Valles FC 2–2–2 CP San Cristobal (6 last)

Cerdanyola del Valles FC2-0CP San Cristobal
CP San Cristobal2-1Cerdanyola del Valles FC
CP San Cristobal1-1Cerdanyola del Valles FC
Cerdanyola del Valles FC0-0CP San Cristobal
CP San Cristobal1-0Cerdanyola del Valles FC
CP San Cristobal0-1Cerdanyola del Valles FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cerdanyola del Valles FC 1550 · CP San Cristobal 1429

	Cerdanyola del Valles FC	Draw	CP San Cristobal
Our model	53%	28%	19%
Market	54%	26%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 2.44 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cerdanyola del Valles FC (rating 1550 vs 1429).
Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cerdanyola del Valles FC	CP San Cristobal
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 0.9	0.7 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.1	0.3 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 3.9	2.1 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.3	6.6 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.67

X3.50

24.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.95

2 (+0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.80

Under 2.252.00

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	4.40 → 4.40	Bet365 4.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
18:15	1.67	3.50	4.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Cerdanyola del Valles FC 2–2–2 CP San Cristobal

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/02/26 Spain Tercera Group 5	Cerdanyola del Valles FC	2-0 HT 1-0	CP San Cristobal
28/09/25 Spain Tercera Group 5	CP San Cristobal	2-1 HT 0-1	Cerdanyola del Valles FC
30/08/25 Club Friendly List	CP San Cristobal	1-1 HT 0-1	Cerdanyola del Valles FC
13/04/25 Spain Tercera Group 5	Cerdanyola del Valles FC	0-0 HT 0-0	CP San Cristobal
01/12/24 Spain Tercera Group 5	CP San Cristobal	1-0	Cerdanyola del Valles FC
18/08/22 Europe Friendlies	CP San Cristobal	0-1 HT 0-1	Cerdanyola del Valles FC

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 5

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vilanova Geltru	10	5	4	1	14	11	19
2	CE Europa B	10	5	2	3	18	10	17
3	CF Montanesa	10	5	2	3	13	7	17
4	Badalona	10	5	2	3	17	11	17
5	Cerdanyola del Valles FC	10	4	4	2	10	9	16
6	CE L'Hospitalet	10	3	6	1	13	11	15
7	Atletic Lleida	10	4	3	3	12	13	15
8	UE Tona	10	4	2	4	7	9	14
9	FE Grama	10	3	4	3	12	6	13
10	Pobla Mafumet	10	4	1	5	13	13	13
11	UE San Juan Montcada	10	4	1	5	14	18	13
12	UE Vilassar de Mar	10	3	3	4	14	18	12
13	FC Martinenc	10	3	3	4	19	20	12
14	Peralada	10	2	5	3	12	12	11
15	CFJ Mollerussa	10	3	2	5	10	12	11
16	UE Cornella	10	2	5	3	14	13	11
17	FC L'Escala	10	2	3	5	11	14	9
18	CP San Cristobal	10	2	2	6	7	23	8

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cerdanyola del Valles FC	CP San Cristobal
Pobla Mafumet	1-0 W	1-2 L
UE Vilassar de Mar	1-1 D	0-2 L
Peralada	1-0 W	1-1 D
CF Montanesa	1-0 W	0-2 L
FC Martinenc	2-2 D	1-5 L
FC L'Escala	1-0 W	1-1 D
CE Europa B	0-0 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 3 D 0 L	1 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Cerdanyola del Valles FC (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cerdanyola del Valles FC

DLWDLDWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Pobla Mafumet Spain Tercera Group 5	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
01/11	UE Vilassar de Mar Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	1-1	3	8	D
25/10	Peralada Spain Tercera Group 5	–	1-0	–	–	W
18/10	CF Montanesa Spain Tercera Group 5	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
14/10	FC Martinenc Spain Tercera Group 5	–	2-2	–	–	D
11/10	CFJ Mollerussa Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	0-1	1	3	L
27/09	CE L'Hospitalet Spain Tercera Group 5	1-0	2-2	2	6	D
20/09	FC L'Escala Spain Tercera Group 5	1-0	1-0	3	3	W
12/09	UE Cornella Spain Tercera Group 5	1-1	1-3	5	4	L
06/09	CE Europa B Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	0-0	7	3	D

CP San Cristobal

DLWLWLDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	UE Vilassar de Mar Spain Tercera Group 5	0-2	0-2	12	4	L
01/11	CF Montanesa Spain Tercera Group 5	0-1	0-2	5	9	L
25/10	FC Martinenc Spain Tercera Group 5	0-3	1-5	3	7	L
18/10	FC L'Escala Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	1-1	7	7	D
14/10	FE Grama Spain Tercera Group 5	0-4	0-5	2	7	L
11/10	CE Europa B Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	1-0	0	4	W
27/09	Badalona Spain Tercera Group 5	0-4	0-4	3	8	L
20/09	UE San Juan Montcada Spain Tercera Group 5	2-0	2-1	9	9	W
13/09	Pobla Mafumet Spain Tercera Group 5	1-0	1-2	4	9	L
06/09	Peralada Spain Tercera Group 5	0-1	1-1	7	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cerdanyola del Valles FC vs CP San Cristobal?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Cerdanyola del Valles FC win (53%). Probabilities: Cerdanyola del Valles FC 53%, draw 27%, CP San Cristobal 20%.

How many goals are expected in Cerdanyola del Valles FC vs CP San Cristobal?

The model expects 2.44 goals (Cerdanyola del Valles FC 1.57 · CP San Cristobal 0.86), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Cerdanyola del Valles FC vs CP San Cristobal?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.