Football · Spain Tercera Group 5 · 05/09, 19:00

Prediction: Vilanova Geltru vs CE L'Hospitalet

Team pages: Vilanova Geltru · CE L'Hospitalet

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.36Total

Vilanova Geltru1.2

CE L'Hospitalet1.15

1X2

36% 30% 33%

Vilanova Geltru Draw CE L'Hospitalet

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Vilanova Geltru 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLWDDLWWWL

CE L'Hospitalet 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LWDWWWDWLD

Head-to-head

Vilanova Geltru 2–1–0 CE L'Hospitalet (3 last)

Vilanova Geltru2-2CE L'Hospitalet
Vilanova Geltru2-1CE L'Hospitalet
CE L'Hospitalet0-2Vilanova Geltru

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vilanova Geltru 1545 · CE L'Hospitalet 1517

	Vilanova Geltru	Draw	CE L'Hospitalet
Our model	36%	31%	33%
Market	36%	30%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.36 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Vilanova Geltru: 2-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Vilanova Geltru	CE L'Hospitalet
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1	1.9 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.4	0.8 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	29/43/29%	56/33/11%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.7	2.3 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.3	5.6 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.00

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.82

2 (0)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 21.82

Under 21.98

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 06:36

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.63 → 2.50▼	Bet365 2.50
X	3.10 → 3.00▼	Pinn 3.01
2	2.45 → 2.70▲	Pinn 2.74 ★

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 10.4% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
16:39 +11’	2.63	3.10	2.45
03:12 +12’	2.60▼	3.10	2.50▲
06:33 +3’	2.50▼	3.00▼	2.70▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:22 +10’	2.39	3.00	2.83
03:24 +1’	2.45▲	3.01▲	2.74▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.25

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Vilanova Geltru 2–1–0 CE L'Hospitalet

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
19/08/26 Spain Copa Federacion	Vilanova Geltru	2-2 HT 2-1	CE L'Hospitalet
14/02/26 Spain Tercera Group 5	Vilanova Geltru	2-1	CE L'Hospitalet
04/10/25 Spain Tercera Group 5	CE L'Hospitalet	0-2 HT 0-2	Vilanova Geltru

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 5

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Atletic Lleida	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CE Europa B	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CE L'Hospitalet	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Cerdanyola del Valles FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Badalona	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CF Montanesa	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Peralada	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Pobla Mafumet	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Vilanova Geltru	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CFJ Mollerussa	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	UE Cornella	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CP San Cristobal	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC L'Escala	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Martinenc	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FE Grama	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	UE San Juan Atletico de Montcada	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	UE Tona	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	UE Vilassar de Mar	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vilanova Geltru	CE L'Hospitalet
UE Cornella	0-1 L	0-0 D
CF Can Vidalet	1-0 W	1-0 W
Badalona	0-3 L	2-3 L
CF Montanesa	2-1 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: CE L'Hospitalet (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vilanova Geltru

WLWDDLWWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/05	UE Cornella Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	0-1	4	1	L
10/05	Lleida Spain Tercera Group 5	0-1	2-1	9	7	W
03/05	CF Can Vidalet Spain Tercera Group 5	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
26/04	FC L'Escala Spain Tercera Group 5	–	2-1	–	–	W
18/04	UE Vilassar de Mar Spain Tercera Group 5	0-1	0-1	1	5	L
12/04	CFJ Mollerussa Spain Tercera Group 5	2-1	2-2	0	4	D
02/04	CP San Cristobal Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
29/03	UE Cornella Spain Tercera Group 5	–	2-0	–	–	W
22/03	Badalona Spain Tercera Group 5	–	0-3	–	–	L
15/03	CF Montanesa Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	2-1	2	7	W

CE L'Hospitalet

LWDWWWDWLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/05	UE Cornella Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
03/05	Badalona Spain Tercera Group 5	–	2-3	–	–	L
25/04	CF Montanesa Spain Tercera Group 5	1-0	1-0	4	7	W
19/04	Cerdanyola del Valles FC Spain Tercera Group 5	2-1	4-4	0	13	D
12/04	Peralada Spain Tercera Group 5	2-0	3-0	2	2	W
03/04	UE Vic Spain Tercera Group 5	1-0	4-0	5	5	W
29/03	CF Can Vidalet Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	1-0	6	7	W
22/03	CE Manresa Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	0-0	4	7	D
15/03	CE Europa B Spain Tercera Group 5	1-0	3-0	3	3	W
11/03	UE Tona Spain Tercera Group 5	0-2	1-4	2	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vilanova Geltru vs CE L'Hospitalet?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Vilanova Geltru win (36%). Probabilities: Vilanova Geltru 36%, draw 30%, CE L'Hospitalet 33%.

How many goals are expected in Vilanova Geltru vs CE L'Hospitalet?

The model expects 2.36 goals (Vilanova Geltru 1.2 · CE L'Hospitalet 1.15), with a 55% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Vilanova Geltru vs CE L'Hospitalet?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.