Football · Spain Tercera Group 5 · 05/09, 18:00
Prediction: FC L'Escala vs FE Grama
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.65Total
FC L'Escala1.2
FE Grama1.45
1X2
FC L'Escala
Draw
FE Grama
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
FC L'Escala
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
FE Grama
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC L'Escala
3–3
FE Grama
(6 last)
- FC L'Escala3-2FE Grama
- FE Grama0-1FC L'Escala
- FE Grama3-1FC L'Escala
- FC L'Escala1-2FE Grama
- FE Grama1-2FC L'Escala
- FC L'Escala2-3FE Grama
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC L'Escala 1474 · FE Grama 1571
| FC L'Escala | Draw | FE Grama | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 28% | 42% |
| Market | 31% | 26% | 43% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.65 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FE Grama (rating 1474 vs 1571).
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC L'Escala | FE Grama | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.8 | 1.9 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.7 | 1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/71/29% | 63/25/13% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.3 | 2.5 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.3 | 4.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC L'Escala 3–0–3 FE Grama
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/26 Spain Tercera Group 5 | FC L'Escala | 3-2 HT 1-1 | FE Grama |
| 07/09/25 Spain Tercera Group 5 | FE Grama | 0-1 HT 0-1 | FC L'Escala |
| 18/04/25 Spain Tercera Group 5 | FE Grama | 3-1 HT 2-0 | FC L'Escala |
| 08/12/24 Spain Tercera Group 5 | FC L'Escala | 1-2 HT 0-1 | FE Grama |
| 24/03/24 Spain Tercera Group 5 | FE Grama | 1-2 HT 1-0 | FC L'Escala |
| 05/11/23 Spain Tercera Group 5 | FC L'Escala | 2-3 | FE Grama |
Standings · Spain Tercera Group 5
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletic Lleida | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CE Europa B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CE L'Hospitalet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cerdanyola del Valles FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Badalona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CF Montanesa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Peralada | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Pobla Mafumet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Vilanova Geltru | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CFJ Mollerussa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | UE Cornella | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CP San Cristobal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC L'Escala | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Martinenc | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FE Grama | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | UE San Juan Atletico de Montcada | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | UE Tona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | UE Vilassar de Mar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC L'Escala | FE Grama |
|---|---|---|
| CP San Cristobal | 3-0 W | 3-1 W |
| UE Vilassar de Mar | 1-4 L | 1-0 W |
| CFJ Mollerussa | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| Badalona | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| UE Cornella | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| CF Montanesa | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 3 L | 5 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: FE Grama (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC L'Escala
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05 | UE Tona Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 03/05 | Lleida Spain Tercera Group 5 |
– | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | Vilanova Geltru Spain Tercera Group 5 |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | CF Can Vidalet Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 16/04 | CP San Cristobal Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 12/04 | UE Vilassar de Mar Spain Tercera Group 5 |
– | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 03/04 | CFJ Mollerussa Spain Tercera Group 5 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 25/03 | Badalona Spain Tercera Group 5 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 22/03 | UE Cornella Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 08/03 | CF Montanesa Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
FE Grama
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05 | UE Vilassar de Mar Spain Tercera Group 5 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | CFJ Mollerussa Spain Tercera Group 5 |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | CP San Cristobal Spain Tercera Group 5 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 19/04 | UE Cornella Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 12/04 | Badalona Spain Tercera Group 5 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 02/04 | CF Montanesa Spain Tercera Group 5 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 29/03 | Cerdanyola del Valles FC Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 22/03 | Peralada Spain Tercera Group 5 |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/03 | UE Vic Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 07/03 | CE L'Hospitalet Spain Tercera Group 5 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC L'Escala vs FE Grama?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FE Grama win (42%). Probabilities: FC L'Escala 30%, draw 27%, FE Grama 42%.
How many goals are expected in FC L'Escala vs FE Grama?
The model expects 2.65 goals (FC L'Escala 1.2 · FE Grama 1.45), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FC L'Escala vs FE Grama?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.