Football · England Super League Women · 05/09, 13:30
Prediction: Chelsea (W) vs Aston Villa (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.85Total
Chelsea (W)2.93
Aston Villa (W)0.93
1X2
Chelsea (W)
Draw
Aston Villa (W)
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
2-0 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Chelsea (W)
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Aston Villa (W)
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Chelsea (W)
6–0
Aston Villa (W)
(6 last)
- Chelsea (W)4-3Aston Villa (W)
- Aston Villa (W)1-3Chelsea (W)
- Aston Villa (W)0-1Chelsea (W)
- Chelsea (W)1-0Aston Villa (W)
- Chelsea (W)3-0Aston Villa (W)
- Aston Villa (W)0-6Chelsea (W)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chelsea (W) (rating 1640 vs 1389).
- H2H favours Chelsea (W): 6-0-0.
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chelsea (W) | Aston Villa (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.4 | 1.2 / 2.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4 / 6.5 | 1.6 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0 | 2.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chelsea (W) 6–0–0 Aston Villa (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/26 England Super League Women | Chelsea (W) | 4-3 HT 3-3 | Aston Villa (W) |
| 14/09/25 England Super League Women | Aston Villa (W) | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Chelsea (W) |
| 02/02/25 England Super League Women | Aston Villa (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Chelsea (W) |
| 20/09/24 England Super League Women | Chelsea (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Aston Villa (W) |
| 17/04/24 England Super League Women | Chelsea (W) | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Aston Villa (W) |
| 04/11/23 England Super League Women | Aston Villa (W) | 0-6 HT 0-2 | Chelsea (W) |
Standings · England Super League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Aston Villa (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Birmingham (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Brighton (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Charlton (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Chelsea (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Crystal Palace (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Everton (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Liverpool (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | London City Lionesses (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Man City (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Man Utd (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Tottenham (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | West Ham (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chelsea (W) | Aston Villa (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Man Utd (W) | 1-0 W | 1-4 L |
| Leicester (W) | 3-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Everton (W) | 4-1 W | 1-2 L |
| London City Lionesses (W) | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Liverpool (W) | 2-0 W | 1-4 L |
| Tottenham (W) | 2-0 W | 3-7 L |
| Man City (W) | 1-5 L | 0-0 D |
| Arsenal (W) | 0-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Chelsea (W) (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chelsea (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05 | Man Utd (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Leicester (W) England Super League Women |
3-1 | 3-1 | 13 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | Everton (W) England Super League Women |
1-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 29/03 | Aston Villa (W) England Super League Women |
3-3 | 4-3 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 21/03 | London City Lionesses (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 18/03 | Brighton (W) England Super League Women |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 15/02 | Liverpool (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 08/02 | Tottenham (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 01/02 | Man City (W) England Super League Women |
0-2 | 1-5 | 9 | 0 | L |
| 24/01 | Arsenal (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 1 | L |
Aston Villa (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05 | London City Lionesses (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | Arsenal (W) England Super League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 04/05 | West Ham (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 29/03 | Chelsea (W) England Super League Women |
3-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 22/03 | Leicester (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 15/03 | Man City (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 15/02 | Tottenham (W) England Super League Women |
1-3 | 3-7 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 08/02 | Liverpool (W) England Super League Women |
1-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 01/02 | Everton (W) England Super League Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 25/01 | Man Utd (W) England Super League Women |
1-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chelsea (W) vs Aston Villa (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Chelsea (W) win (77%). Probabilities: Chelsea (W) 77%, draw 14%, Aston Villa (W) 8%.
How many goals are expected in Chelsea (W) vs Aston Villa (W)?
The model expects 3.85 goals (Chelsea (W) 2.93 · Aston Villa (W) 0.93), with a 55% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Chelsea (W) vs Aston Villa (W)?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.