Football · England Super League Women · 06/09, 13:00
Prediction: Brighton (W) vs Arsenal (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.92Total
Brighton (W)1.28
Arsenal (W)1.64
1X2
Brighton (W)
Draw
Arsenal (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Brighton (W)
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Arsenal (W)
9-1-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Brighton (W)
2–1–3
Arsenal (W)
(6 last)
- Brighton (W)1-1Arsenal (W)
- Arsenal (W)0-2Brighton (W)
- Arsenal (W)1-0Brighton (W)
- Brighton (W)4-2Arsenal (W)
- Brighton (W)0-4Arsenal (W)
- Arsenal (W)5-0Brighton (W)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arsenal (W) (rating 1492 vs 1600).
- H2H favours Arsenal (W): 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Brighton (W) | Arsenal (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.3 | 3 / 0.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 1.5 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 70/20/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.1 | 2.7 / 7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0 | 2.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Brighton (W) 2–1–3 Arsenal (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/05/26 England Super League Women | Brighton (W) | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Arsenal (W) |
| 05/04/26 England FA Cup Women | Arsenal (W) | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Brighton (W) |
| 12/10/25 England Super League Women | Arsenal (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Brighton (W) |
| 05/05/25 England Super League Women | Brighton (W) | 4-2 HT 2-1 | Arsenal (W) |
| 22/01/25 England League Cup Women | Brighton (W) | 0-4 HT 0-0 | Arsenal (W) |
| 08/11/24 England Super League Women | Arsenal (W) | 5-0 HT 3-0 | Brighton (W) |
Standings · England Super League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Aston Villa (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Birmingham (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Brighton (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Charlton (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Chelsea (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Crystal Palace (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Everton (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Liverpool (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | London City Lionesses (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Man City (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Man Utd (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Tottenham (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | West Ham (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Brighton (W) | Arsenal (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Tottenham (W) | 1-2 L | 5-2 W |
| Man City (W) | 3-2 W | 1-0 W |
| Leicester (W) | 1-0 W | 7-0 W |
| Liverpool (W) | 0-0 D | 3-1 W |
| Chelsea (W) | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| West Ham (W) | 2-3 L | 5-0 W |
| London City Lionesses (W) | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Everton (W) | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 4 L | 8 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Arsenal (W) (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Brighton (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05 | Tottenham (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 06/05 | Arsenal (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | Man Utd (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 25/04 | Man City (W) England Super League Women |
1-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 29/03 | Leicester (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 22/03 | Liverpool (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 18/03 | Chelsea (W) England Super League Women |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 08/02 | West Ham (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 01/02 | London City Lionesses (W) England Super League Women |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 23/01 | Everton (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
Arsenal (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05 | Liverpool (W) England Super League Women |
3-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 13/05 | Everton (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Aston Villa (W) England Super League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 06/05 | Brighton (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 29/04 | Leicester (W) England Super League Women |
4-0 | 7-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 28/03 | Tottenham (W) England Super League Women |
3-1 | 5-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 21/03 | West Ham (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 15/03 | London City Lionesses (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 7 | W |
| 08/02 | Man City (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 24/01 | Chelsea (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Brighton (W) vs Arsenal (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Arsenal (W) win (45%). Probabilities: Brighton (W) 29%, draw 27%, Arsenal (W) 45%.
How many goals are expected in Brighton (W) vs Arsenal (W)?
The model expects 2.92 goals (Brighton (W) 1.28 · Arsenal (W) 1.64), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Brighton (W) vs Arsenal (W)?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.