Football · England Super League Women · 27/09, 15:00
Prediction: Tottenham (W) vs Aston Villa (W)
Team pages: Tottenham (W) · Aston Villa (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.5Total
Tottenham (W)2.32
Aston Villa (W)1.18
1X2
Tottenham (W)
Draw
Aston Villa (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
2-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Tottenham (W)
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Aston Villa (W)
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tottenham (W)
3–2–1
Aston Villa (W)
(6 last)
- Aston Villa (W)3-7Tottenham (W)
- Tottenham (W)2-1Aston Villa (W)
- Tottenham (W)0-0Aston Villa (W)
- Tottenham (W)2-3Aston Villa (W)
- Tottenham (W)1-0Aston Villa (W)
- Aston Villa (W)2-2Tottenham (W)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tottenham (W) (rating 1527 vs 1411).
- H2H favours Tottenham (W): 3-2-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tottenham (W) | Aston Villa (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 2.1 | 1.2 / 2.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 1.1 | 0.7 / 1.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.7 | 1.4 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0 | 2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tottenham (W) 3–2–1 Aston Villa (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/26 England Super League Women | Aston Villa (W) | 3-7 HT 1-3 | Tottenham (W) |
| 07/12/25 England Super League Women | Tottenham (W) | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Aston Villa (W) |
| 24/09/25 England League Cup Women | Tottenham (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Aston Villa (W) |
| 20/04/25 England Super League Women | Tottenham (W) | 2-3 HT 0-1 | Aston Villa (W) |
| 23/11/24 England League Cup Women | Tottenham (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Aston Villa (W) |
| 29/09/24 England Super League Women | Aston Villa (W) | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Tottenham (W) |
Standings · England Super League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City (W) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Chelsea (W) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | London City Lionesses (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | Arsenal (W) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | Liverpool (W) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 4 |
| 6 | Tottenham (W) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Crystal Palace (W) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Everton (W) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | West Ham (W) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 10 | Brighton (W) | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 11 | Aston Villa (W) | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| 12 | Birmingham (W) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
| 13 | Man Utd (W) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
| 14 | Charlton (W) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tottenham (W) | Aston Villa (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Liverpool (W) | 1-1 D | 1-4 L |
| West Ham (W) | 3-1 W | 0-2 L |
| London City Lionesses (W) | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Arsenal (W) | 2-5 L | 0-3 L |
| Man City (W) | 2-5 L | 1-4 L |
| Chelsea (W) | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 0 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Tottenham (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tottenham (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Liverpool (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 06/09 | West Ham (W) England Super League Women |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 16/05 | Brighton (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | London City Lionesses (W) England Super League Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | Man Utd (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 28/03 | Arsenal (W) England Super League Women |
1-3 | 2-5 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 21/03 | Man City (W) England Super League Women |
1-5 | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 15/03 | Everton (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 15/02 | Aston Villa (W) England Super League Women |
3-1 | 7-3 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 08/02 | Chelsea (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
Aston Villa (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Man City (W) England Super League Women |
1-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 05/09 | Chelsea (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | D |
| 16/05 | London City Lionesses (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | Arsenal (W) England Super League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 04/05 | West Ham (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 29/03 | Chelsea (W) England Super League Women |
3-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 22/03 | Leicester (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 15/03 | Man City (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 15/02 | Tottenham (W) England Super League Women |
1-3 | 3-7 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 08/02 | Liverpool (W) England Super League Women |
1-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tottenham (W) vs Aston Villa (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Tottenham (W) win (62%). Probabilities: Tottenham (W) 62%, draw 21%, Aston Villa (W) 17%.
How many goals are expected in Tottenham (W) vs Aston Villa (W)?
The model expects 3.5 goals (Tottenham (W) 2.32 · Aston Villa (W) 1.18), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Tottenham (W) vs Aston Villa (W)?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.