Football · England Northern League Division One · 10/08, 20:45
Prediction: St Ives Town vs Sutton Coldfield
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.37Total
St Ives Town1.92
Sutton Coldfield1.45
1X2
St Ives Town
Draw
Sutton Coldfield
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
St Ives Town
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Sutton Coldfield
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · St Ives Town 1479 · Sutton Coldfield 1469
| St Ives Town | Draw | Sutton Coldfield | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 24% | 28% |
| Market | 48% | 24% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.37 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| St Ives Town | Sutton Coldfield | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.7 | 1.7 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.4 | 0.9 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 80/0/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.8 | 2.3 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.3 | 2.9 / 0.1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
St Ives Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Bishop's Stortford Club Friendly List |
2-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Stratford Town England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 18/04 | Worcester City England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 11/04 | Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 06/04 | Royston Town England Southern Premier League Central |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 03/04 | Harborough Town England Southern Premier League Central |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 28/03 | Stourbridge England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 3-4 | – | – | L |
| 24/03 | Alvechurch England Southern Premier League Central |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 21/03 | Spalding United England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 14/03 | Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central |
1-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
Sutton Coldfield
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Leamington UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 18/04 | Carlton Town England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 03/02 | Bourne Town England Northern League Division One |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 01/01 | Lichfield City England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 02/12 | Anstey Nomads England Northern League Division One |
2-1 | 2-5 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 04/11 | Mickleover Sports England Northern League Division One |
1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 28/10 | AFC Rushden & Diamonds England Northern League Division One |
3-2 | 5-3 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 18/10 | Shepshed Dynamo England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 14/10 | Rugby Borough England Northern League Division One |
0-2 | 0-3 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 07/10 | Bedworth Utd England Northern League Division One |
2-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in St Ives Town vs Sutton Coldfield?
According to our model, the most likely result is a St Ives Town win (48%). Probabilities: St Ives Town 48%, draw 24%, Sutton Coldfield 28%.
How many goals are expected in St Ives Town vs Sutton Coldfield?
The model expects 3.37 goals (St Ives Town 1.92 · Sutton Coldfield 1.45), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in St Ives Town vs Sutton Coldfield?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.