Football · England Northern League Division One · 10/08, 20:45
Prediction: Barwell vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.23Total
Barwell1.83
AFC Rushden & Diamonds1.4
1X2
Barwell
Draw
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Barwell
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Barwell
2–1–3
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
(6 last)
- AFC Rushden & Diamonds0-1Barwell
- Barwell1-2AFC Rushden & Diamonds
- Barwell1-2AFC Rushden & Diamonds
- AFC Rushden & Diamonds0-1Barwell
- AFC Rushden & Diamonds1-1Barwell
- AFC Rushden & Diamonds3-1Barwell
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Barwell 1485 · AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1475
| Barwell | Draw | AFC Rushden & Diamonds | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 25% | 28% |
| Market | 47% | 24% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.23 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours AFC Rushden & Diamonds: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Barwell | AFC Rushden & Diamonds | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 2.2 | 1.2 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.3 | 0.6 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 29/14/57% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.2 | 1.9 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0 | 3.8 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Barwell 2–1–3 AFC Rushden & Diamonds
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/02/23 England Southern Premier League Central | AFC Rushden & Diamonds | 0-1 | Barwell |
| 24/09/22 England Southern Premier League Central | Barwell | 1-2 HT 0-1 | AFC Rushden & Diamonds |
| 12/02/22 England Southern Premier League Central | Barwell | 1-2 | AFC Rushden & Diamonds |
| 19/10/21 England Southern Premier League Central | AFC Rushden & Diamonds | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Barwell |
| 26/09/20 England Southern Premier League Central | AFC Rushden & Diamonds | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Barwell |
| 04/01/20 England Southern Premier League Central | AFC Rushden & Diamonds | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Barwell |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Barwell
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Ilkeston Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Sandiacre Town FC Club Friendly List |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | Quorn UK Friendlies |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 25/04 | Bishop's Stortford England Southern Premier League Central |
0-1 | 3-1 | 10 | 7 | W |
| 18/04 | Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 11/04 | Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 06/04 | Spalding United England Southern Premier League Central |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 03/04 | Alvechurch England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 28/03 | Kettering England Southern Premier League Central |
1-4 | 2-5 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 21/03 | AFC Sudbury England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 2-4 | – | – | L |
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Racing Club Warwick Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/07 | Banbury UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 18/07 | Stamford Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 10/07 | Milton Keynes Irish UK Friendlies |
2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 28/03 | Bedworth Utd England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 21/03 | Loughborough University England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 10/03 | Coventry Sphinx England Northern League Division One |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 20/01 | Anstey Nomads England Northern League Division One |
2-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 04/11 | Carlton Town England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 01/11 | Boldmere St Michaels England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Barwell vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Barwell win (47%). Probabilities: Barwell 47%, draw 24%, AFC Rushden & Diamonds 29%.
How many goals are expected in Barwell vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds?
The model expects 3.23 goals (Barwell 1.83 · AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1.4), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Barwell vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.