Football · Bolivia Copa Division Profesional · 20/09, 23:15
Prediction: The Strongest vs Bolivar
Team pages: The Strongest · Bolivar
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.78Total
The Strongest1.68
Bolivar2.11
1X2
The Strongest
Draw
Bolivar
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
The Strongest
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Bolivar
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
The Strongest
0–3–3
Bolivar
(6 last)
- Bolivar4-2The Strongest
- The Strongest1-1Bolivar
- Bolivar0-0The Strongest
- The Strongest2-2Bolivar
- The Strongest2-3Bolivar
- The Strongest3-5Bolivar
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · The Strongest 1521 · Bolivar 1625
| The Strongest | Draw | Bolivar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 23% | 47% |
| Market | 29% | 25% | 46% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.78 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bolivar (rating 1521 vs 1625).
- H2H favours Bolivar: 3-3-0.
- High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| The Strongest | Bolivar | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 2.1 | 2.9 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 1 | 1.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/10/50% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 6.4 | 2.3 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.4 | 4.2 / 0.9 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · The Strongest 0–3–3 Bolivar
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/26 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional | Bolivar | 4-2 HT 3-1 | The Strongest |
| 12/07/26 Bolivia Primera Division | The Strongest | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Bolivar |
| 07/02/26 America Friendlies | Bolivar | 0-0 HT 0-0 | The Strongest |
| 31/01/26 America Friendlies | The Strongest | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Bolivar |
| 30/11/25 Bolivia Primera Division | The Strongest | 2-3 HT 1-3 | Bolivar |
| 09/11/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional | The Strongest | 3-5 HT 1-2 | Bolivar |
Standings · Bolivia Copa Division Profesional · Copa Bolivia 2026, Group D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolivar | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Independiente Petrolero | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
| 3 | Blooming | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 3 |
| 4 | GV San Jose | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 3 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
The Strongest
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 30/08 | Bolivar Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 19/08 | Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 18/12 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 17/12 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 26/11 | Guabira Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 19/11 | Guabira Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 16/11 | Club Aurora Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 13/11 | Club Aurora Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 09/11 | Bolivar Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-2 | 3-5 | 9 | 5 | L |
Bolivar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 14 | 3 | D |
| 02/09 | GV San Jose Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 30/08 | The Strongest Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
3-1 | 4-2 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 23/12 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 20/12 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 19/12 | Blooming Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
4-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 16/12 | Blooming Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 9 | D |
| 27/11 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
3-1 | 6-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 20/11 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 09/11 | The Strongest Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
2-1 | 5-3 | 4 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in The Strongest vs Bolivar?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Bolivar win (46%). Probabilities: The Strongest 29%, draw 24%, Bolivar 46%.
How many goals are expected in The Strongest vs Bolivar?
The model expects 3.78 goals (The Strongest 1.68 · Bolivar 2.11), with a 57% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in The Strongest vs Bolivar?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.