Football · Colombia Liga Femenina · 09/08, 22:00

Prediction: Internacional FC de Palmira (W) vs Junior (W)

Team pages: Internacional FC de Palmira (W) · Junior (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.09Total
Internacional FC de Palmira (W)1.39
Junior (W)0.7
1X2
53% 29% 18%
Internacional FC de Palmira (W) Draw Junior (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Internacional FC de Palmira (W) 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
WLWDLWLLDD
Junior (W) 1-4-5 (W-D-L)
LWLLDDDLDL
Head-to-head
Internacional FC de Palmira (W) 2–1–1 Junior (W) (4 last)
  • Junior (W)1-1Internacional FC de Palmira (W)
  • Junior (W)0-1Internacional FC de Palmira (W)
  • Junior (W)0-1Internacional FC de Palmira (W)
  • Internacional FC de Palmira (W)1-2Junior (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Internacional FC de Palmira (W) 1483 · Junior (W) 1442
Internacional FC de Palmira (W)DrawJunior (W)
Our model52%30%18%
Market54%28%19%
Estimated total (ours) 2.09 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Internacional FC de Palmira (W) (rating 1483 vs 1442).
  • H2H favours Internacional FC de Palmira (W): 2-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Internacional FC de Palmira (W)Junior (W)
Goals for / against (FT)0.6 / 1.20.8 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.1 / 0.70.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/40/50%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.4 / 2.91.4 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.5 / 0.23.9 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Internacional FC de Palmira (W) 211 Junior (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
14/04/25
Colombia Liga Femenina
Junior (W)1-1
HT 1-0
Internacional FC de Palmira (W)
03/06/24
Colombia Liga Femenina
Junior (W)0-1
HT 0-1
Internacional FC de Palmira (W)
15/04/23
Colombia Liga Femenina
Junior (W)0-1
HT 0-0
Internacional FC de Palmira (W)
22/02/22
Colombia Liga Femenina
Internacional FC de Palmira (W)1-2Junior (W)

Standings · Colombia Liga Femenina

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Deportivo Cali (W) 151221 32738
2 Atletico Nacional (W) 151203 29836
3 Millonarios (W) 15951 29732
4 America de Cali (W) 151023 26832
5 Internacional de Bogota (W) 15825 201426
6 Independiente Santa Fe (W) 15744 231125
7 Internacional FC de Palmira (W) 15654 131623
8 Independiente Medellin (W) 15618 211919
9 Orsomarso (W) 15474 151419
10 Fortaleza CEIF (W) 15447 101916
11 Atletico Bucaramanga (W) 15429 133314
12 Llaneros (W) 15348 102813
13 Junior (W) 15267 112212
14 CD Real Santander (W) 15177 42010
15 Once Caldas (W) 15159 6238
16 Deportivo Pasto (W) 151410 12257

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentInternacional FC de Palmira (W)Junior (W)
Orsomarso (W) 1-1 D 1-5 L
Independiente Santa Fe (W) 0-2 L 1-1 D
Atletico Bucaramanga (W) 1-0 W 0-1 L
Atletico Nacional (W) 0-1 L 1-2 L
Fortaleza CEIF (W) 3-1 W 0-0 D
Llaneros (W) 0-2 L 1-2 L
Deportivo Cali (W) 1-0 W 0-2 L
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 3 L 0 W 2 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Internacional FC de Palmira (W) (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Internacional FC de Palmira (W)

WLWDLWLLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/08 Once Caldas (W)
Colombia Liga Femenina
0-0 0-0 52 D
25/07 Orsomarso (W)
Colombia Liga Femenina
0-1 1-1 44 D
29/05 America de Cali (W)
Colombia Liga Femenina
0-3 0-5 27 L
23/05 Independiente Santa Fe (W)
Colombia Liga Femenina
0-1 0-2 15 L
15/05 Atletico Bucaramanga (W)
Colombia Liga Femenina
1-0 1-0 28 W
11/05 Atletico Nacional (W)
Colombia Liga Femenina
0-1 0-1 23 L
03/05 Orsomarso (W)
Colombia Liga Femenina
0-0 0-0 14 D
23/04 Fortaleza CEIF (W)
Colombia Liga Femenina
0-0 3-1 35 W
12/04 Llaneros (W)
Colombia Liga Femenina
0-1 0-2 54 L
29/03 Deportivo Cali (W)
Colombia Liga Femenina
0-0 1-0 45 W

Junior (W)

LWLLDDDLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/08 Atletico Bucaramanga (W)
Colombia Liga Femenina
0-1 0-1 95 L
25/07 Millonarios (W)
Colombia Liga Femenina
0-0 0-0 44 D
29/05 Orsomarso (W)
Colombia Liga Femenina
0-2 1-5 65 L
24/05 Fortaleza CEIF (W)
Colombia Liga Femenina
0-0 0-0 64 D
16/05 CD Real Santander (W)
Colombia Liga Femenina
0-1 1-1 65 D
11/05 Independiente Santa Fe (W)
Colombia Liga Femenina
1-0 1-1 32 D
01/05 Llaneros (W)
Colombia Liga Femenina
0-1 1-2 72 L
23/04 Deportivo Cali (W)
Colombia Liga Femenina
0-0 0-2 15 L
16/04 Independiente Medellin (W)
Colombia Liga Femenina
1-1 3-2 65 W
30/03 Atletico Nacional (W)
Colombia Liga Femenina
1-0 1-2 13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Internacional FC de Palmira (W) vs Junior (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Internacional FC de Palmira (W) win (53%). Probabilities: Internacional FC de Palmira (W) 53%, draw 29%, Junior (W) 18%.

How many goals are expected in Internacional FC de Palmira (W) vs Junior (W)?

The model expects 2.09 goals (Internacional FC de Palmira (W) 1.39 · Junior (W) 0.7), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Internacional FC de Palmira (W) vs Junior (W)?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.