Football · Colombia Liga Femenina · 08/08, 22:30
Prediction: Llaneros (W) vs Atletico Nacional (W)
Team pages: Llaneros (W) · Atletico Nacional (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3Total
Llaneros (W)0.5
Atletico Nacional (W)2.5
1X2
Llaneros (W)
Draw
Atletico Nacional (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 58%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
Llaneros (W)
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Atletico Nacional (W)
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Llaneros (W)
1–1–1
Atletico Nacional (W)
(3 last)
- Atletico Nacional (W)0-0Llaneros (W)
- Atletico Nacional (W)5-0Llaneros (W)
- Llaneros (W)2-1Atletico Nacional (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Llaneros (W) 1438 · Atletico Nacional (W) 1576
| Llaneros (W) | Draw | Atletico Nacional (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 5% | 15% | 80% |
| Market | 5% | 12% | 83% |
Estimated total (ours)
3 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Atletico Nacional (W) (rating 1438 vs 1576).
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Llaneros (W) | Atletico Nacional (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 2.3 | 1.9 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1.1 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 2.6 | 1.6 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0 | 3.9 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Llaneros (W) 1–1–1 Atletico Nacional (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05/24 Colombia Liga Femenina | Atletico Nacional (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Llaneros (W) |
| 11/05/23 Colombia Liga Femenina | Atletico Nacional (W) | 5-0 HT 0-0 | Llaneros (W) |
| 18/02/22 Colombia Liga Femenina | Llaneros (W) | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Atletico Nacional (W) |
Standings · Colombia Liga Femenina
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Cali (W) | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 7 | 38 |
| 2 | Atletico Nacional (W) | 15 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 8 | 36 |
| 3 | Millonarios (W) | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 29 | 7 | 32 |
| 4 | America de Cali (W) | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 8 | 32 |
| 5 | Internacional de Bogota (W) | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 14 | 26 |
| 6 | Independiente Santa Fe (W) | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 11 | 25 |
| 7 | Internacional FC de Palmira (W) | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 16 | 23 |
| 8 | Independiente Medellin (W) | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 19 | 19 |
| 9 | Orsomarso (W) | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 19 |
| 10 | Fortaleza CEIF (W) | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 16 |
| 11 | Atletico Bucaramanga (W) | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 33 | 14 |
| 12 | Llaneros (W) | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 13 |
| 13 | Junior (W) | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 22 | 12 |
| 14 | CD Real Santander (W) | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 10 |
| 15 | Once Caldas (W) | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 8 |
| 16 | Deportivo Pasto (W) | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 25 | 7 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Llaneros (W) | Atletico Nacional (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Once Caldas (W) | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Deportivo Cali (W) | 0-5 L | 1-2 L |
| Internacional de Bogota (W) | 0-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Junior (W) | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Internacional FC de Palmira (W) | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| CD Real Santander (W) | 0-0 D | 5-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 5 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Atletico Nacional (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Llaneros (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | America de Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-3 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 25/07 | Atletico Bucaramanga (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 28/05 | Independiente Santa Fe (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-2 | 1-4 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 22/05 | Once Caldas (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 15/05 | Deportivo Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-2 | 0-5 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 08/05 | Internacional de Bogota (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 01/05 | Junior (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 24/04 | Millonarios (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-2 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 12/04 | Internacional FC de Palmira (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 30/03 | CD Real Santander (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
Atletico Nacional (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Deportivo Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 24/07 | Independiente Medellin (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 29/05 | Internacional de Bogota (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | Deportivo Pasto (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Once Caldas (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 11/05 | Internacional FC de Palmira (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 01/05 | Independiente Medellin (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 26/04 | Orsomarso (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 12/04 | CD Real Santander (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
2-0 | 5-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 30/03 | Junior (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-1 | 2-1 | 11 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Llaneros (W) vs Atletico Nacional (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Atletico Nacional (W) win (82%). Probabilities: Llaneros (W) 5%, draw 13%, Atletico Nacional (W) 82%.
How many goals are expected in Llaneros (W) vs Atletico Nacional (W)?
The model expects 3 goals (Llaneros (W) 0.5 · Atletico Nacional (W) 2.5), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Llaneros (W) vs Atletico Nacional (W)?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.