Football · Norway Division 3 Group 2 · 08/08, 19:00

Prediction: NTNUI vs Byåsen

Team pages: NTNUI · Byåsen

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.99Total

NTNUI1.77

Byåsen2.22

1X2

31% 21% 48%

NTNUI Draw Byåsen

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-2

Recent form · 10 last

NTNUI 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LDLWLWLLDL

Byåsen 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWWLLWLWDL

Head-to-head

NTNUI 1–1 Byåsen (2 last)

Byåsen0-1NTNUI
NTNUI1-3Byåsen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NTNUI 1450 · Byåsen 1474

	NTNUI	Draw	Byåsen
Our model	31%	22%	48%
Market	31%	21%	48%

Estimated total (ours) 3.99 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NTNUI	Byåsen
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2.5	2.3 / 2.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 1.2	0.8 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.5	2.9 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0	3.4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.88

X4.33

21.85

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.93

2 (-0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.95

Under 3.751.85

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 4.5

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 12:59

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.30 → 2.30▼	Pinn 2.37 ★
X	4.50 → 4.20▼	Bet365 4.20
2	1.70 → 2.25▲	Pinn 2.27

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.7% Pinnacle margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
21:46 +1’	3.30	4.50	1.70
03:32 +15’	2.88▼	4.33▼	1.85▲
12:56 +4’	2.30▼	4.20▼	2.25▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
08:56 +1’	2.66	4.00	2.01
12:54 +5’	2.37▼	3.82▼	2.27▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · NTNUI 1–0–1 Byåsen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Norway Division 3 Group 2	Byåsen	0-1 HT 0-1	NTNUI
23/10/21 Norway Division 3 Group 5	NTNUI	1-3 HT 0-0	Byåsen

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Volda	14	9	2	3	38	18	29
2	Melhus	14	7	5	2	32	17	26
3	Herd	14	7	3	4	31	21	24
4	Strindheim	14	7	3	4	33	27	24
5	Rosenborg 2	14	6	4	4	27	22	22
6	Byåsen	14	6	2	6	31	34	20
7	Spjelkavik	14	5	4	5	26	25	19
8	Ranheim 2	14	5	4	5	39	39	19
9	Kvik Trondheim	14	5	3	6	25	28	18
10	Molde 2	14	4	4	6	37	45	16
11	Nardo	14	4	2	8	28	33	14
12	Orkla	14	4	2	8	24	34	14
13	NTNUI	14	3	5	6	20	30	14
14	Aalesunds FK 2	14	4	1	9	24	42	13

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NTNUI	Byåsen
Ranheim 2	1-4 L	3-2 W
Herd	2-2 D	1-3 L
Nardo	0-2 L	4-2 W
Aalesunds FK 2	0-1 L	2-1 W
Kvik Trondheim	4-3 W	0-2 L
Volda	1-3 L	2-3 L
Molde 2	2-2 D	6-6 D
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 4 L	3 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Byåsen (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NTNUI

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/08	Ranheim 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-3	1-4	7	2	L
27/06	Herd Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-0	2-2	9	2	D
20/06	Nardo Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-0	0-2	3	3	L
13/06	Aalesunds FK 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	0-1	1	4	L
03/06	Kvik Trondheim Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-2	4-3	10	7	W
30/05	Volda Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-2	1-3	–	–	L
21/05	Ranheim 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	1-0	6	6	W
14/05	Orkla Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-2	1-5	6	4	L
09/05	Molde 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
02/05	Rosenborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-1	2-3	2	3	L

Byåsen

LWWLLWLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Spjelkavik Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	2-3	9	3	L
25/07	Molde 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-2	6-6	–	–	D
27/06	Aalesunds FK 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-1	2-1	9	2	W
20/06	Volda Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-2	2-3	2	4	L
14/06	Melhus Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	3-2	3	8	W
30/05	Spjelkavik Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-3	0-4	7	2	L
22/05	Kvik Trondheim Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-2	0-2	8	6	L
14/05	Nardo Norway Division 3 Group 2	3-1	4-2	4	5	W
09/05	Ranheim 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	3-2	4	2	W
01/05	Herd Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	1-3	8	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NTNUI vs Byåsen?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Byåsen win (48%). Probabilities: NTNUI 31%, draw 21%, Byåsen 48%.

How many goals are expected in NTNUI vs Byåsen?

The model expects 3.99 goals (NTNUI 1.77 · Byåsen 2.22), with a 50% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in NTNUI vs Byåsen?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.