Football · Norway Division 3 Group 2 · 15/08, 15:00

Prediction: Herd vs Ranheim 2

Team pages: Herd · Ranheim 2

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.54Total

Herd3.02

Ranheim 21.52

1X2

67% 16% 16%

Herd Draw Ranheim 2

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

3-1

Recent form · 10 last

Herd 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WWLDWWDLLL

Ranheim 2 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Herd 0–1–0 Ranheim 2 (1 last)

Ranheim 22-2Herd

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Herd 1497 · Ranheim 2 1500

	Herd	Draw	Ranheim 2
Our model	67%	16%	16%
Market	67%	16%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 4.54 goals · Bet365 line 4.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 82%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Herd	Ranheim 2
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.5	2.5 / 2.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.9	1.4 / 1.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	40/10/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.8	1.3 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.2	2.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.33

X5.50

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.93

2 (+1.75)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 4.51.95

Under 4.51.85

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 4.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.33	Bet365 1.33
X	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50
2	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
19:11 +16’	1.33	5.50	5.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Herd 0–1–0 Ranheim 2

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 Norway Division 3 Group 2	Ranheim 2	2-2 HT 2-1	Herd

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Volda	15	10	2	3	40	18	32
2	Melhus	15	8	5	2	40	20	29
3	Strindheim	15	8	3	4	37	27	27
4	Rosenborg 2	15	7	4	4	34	23	25
5	Herd	15	7	3	5	31	24	24
6	Byåsen	15	6	3	6	31	34	21
7	Spjelkavik	15	5	4	6	26	29	19
8	Molde 2	15	5	4	6	43	48	19
9	Ranheim 2	15	5	4	6	40	46	19
10	Kvik Trondheim	15	5	3	7	28	34	18
11	Aalesunds FK 2	15	5	1	9	27	42	16
12	NTNUI	15	3	6	6	20	30	15
13	Nardo	15	4	2	9	28	35	14
14	Orkla	15	4	2	9	27	42	14

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Herd	Ranheim 2
Aalesunds FK 2	0-3 L	5-2 W
Volda	0-1 L	0-7 L
NTNUI	2-2 D	4-1 W
Kvik Trondheim	5-1 W	1-1 D
Nardo	4-1 W	5-3 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Herd (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Herd

WWLDWWDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/08	Aalesunds FK 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
31/07	Volda Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-0	0-1	2	2	L
25/07	Melhus Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	0-2	2	5	L
27/06	NTNUI Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-2	2-2	4	2	D
20/06	Kvik Trondheim Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-1	5-1	–	–	W
13/06	Nardo Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	4-1	7	5	W
30/05	Ranheim 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-2	2-2	–	–	D
26/05	Aalesunds FK 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	0-2	14	9	L
16/05	Volda Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
09/05	Orkla Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	3-1	–	–	W

Ranheim 2

LWLDDWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/08	Rosenborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-3	1-7	5	2	L
05/08	NTNUI Norway Division 3 Group 2	3-1	4-1	3	2	W
27/07	Volda Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-6	0-7	4	1	L
27/06	Nardo Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-3	5-3	–	–	W
22/06	Aalesunds FK 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	5-1	5-2	6	2	W
15/06	Kvik Trondheim Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-0	1-1	5	2	D
30/05	Herd Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-1	2-2	–	–	D
21/05	NTNUI Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	0-1	3	6	L
15/05	Rosenborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-1	5-2	1	6	W
09/05	Byåsen Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	2-3	0	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Herd vs Ranheim 2?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Herd win (67%). Probabilities: Herd 67%, draw 16%, Ranheim 2 16%.

How many goals are expected in Herd vs Ranheim 2?

The model expects 4.54 goals (Herd 3.02 · Ranheim 2 1.52), with a 52% chance of under 4.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Herd vs Ranheim 2?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.