Football · Norway Division 3 Group 2 · 15/08, 15:00

Prediction: Orkla vs Spjelkavik

Team pages: Orkla · Spjelkavik

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.3Total

Orkla2.09

Spjelkavik2.2

1X2

37% 21% 41%

Orkla Draw Spjelkavik

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

2-2

Recent form · 10 last

Orkla 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

WLDLLWLLLL

Spjelkavik 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DDLWWLLWWL

Head-to-head

Orkla 1–1 Spjelkavik (2 last)

Spjelkavik0-2Orkla
Orkla1-4Spjelkavik

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Spjelkavik (rating 1423 vs 1494).
High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Orkla	Spjelkavik
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 3	1.9 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1.5	0.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/0/70%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.1	3.8 / 7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0	3.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 41.90

Under 41.81

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 4.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:47

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.36 → 3.36	Pinn 3.36
X	4.02 → 4.02	Pinn 4.02
2	1.72 → 1.72	Pinn 1.72

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
06:45 +2’	3.36	4.02	1.72

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Orkla 1–0–1 Spjelkavik

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/06/26 Norway Division 3 Group 2	Spjelkavik	0-2 HT 0-1	Orkla
11/09/21 Norway Division 3 Group 5	Orkla	1-4 HT 0-1	Spjelkavik

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Volda	15	10	2	3	40	18	32
2	Melhus	15	8	5	2	40	20	29
3	Strindheim	15	8	3	4	37	27	27
4	Rosenborg 2	15	7	4	4	34	23	25
5	Herd	15	7	3	5	31	24	24
6	Byåsen	15	6	3	6	31	34	21
7	Spjelkavik	15	5	4	6	26	29	19
8	Molde 2	15	5	4	6	43	48	19
9	Ranheim 2	15	5	4	6	40	46	19
10	Kvik Trondheim	15	5	3	7	28	34	18
11	Aalesunds FK 2	15	5	1	9	27	42	16
12	NTNUI	15	3	6	6	20	30	15
13	Nardo	15	4	2	9	28	35	14
14	Orkla	15	4	2	9	27	42	14

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Orkla	Spjelkavik
Melhus	3-8 L	0-0 D
Rosenborg 2	1-2 L	1-2 L
Aalesunds FK 2	2-4 L	2-2 D
Molde 2	3-5 L	1-3 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 4 L	0 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Spjelkavik (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Orkla

WLDLLWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Melhus Norway Division 3 Group 2	3-5	3-8	3	3	L
03/08	Rosenborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	1-2	2	4	L
25/07	Aalesunds FK 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-3	2-4	–	–	L
27/06	Molde 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-2	3-5	–	–	L
20/06	Spjelkavik Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	2-0	2	3	W
13/06	Volda Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-2	2-5	–	–	L
06/06	Trønder-Lyn Norway Cup	0-1	1-2	6	5	L
30/05	Kvik Trondheim Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	1-1	6	5	D
22/05	Melhus Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	0-2	5	3	L
14/05	NTNUI Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-0	5-1	5	4	W

Spjelkavik

DDLWWLLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Strindheim Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-2	0-4	–	–	L
01/08	Byåsen Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	3-2	7	3	W
25/07	Nardo Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-0	4-2	–	–	W
27/06	Rosenborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-0	1-2	1	4	L
20/06	Orkla Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	0-2	15	3	L
13/06	Strindheim Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-1	4-2	–	–	W
30/05	Byåsen Norway Division 3 Group 2	3-0	4-0	6	2	W
22/05	Molde 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	1-2	1-3	6	5	L
14/05	Melhus Norway Division 3 Group 2	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
09/05	Aalesunds FK 2 Norway Division 3 Group 2	2-2	2-2	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Orkla vs Spjelkavik?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Spjelkavik win (41%). Probabilities: Orkla 37%, draw 21%, Spjelkavik 41%.

How many goals are expected in Orkla vs Spjelkavik?

The model expects 4.3 goals (Orkla 2.09 · Spjelkavik 2.2), with a 51% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Orkla vs Spjelkavik?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.