Football · Argentina Torneo A · 09/08, 00:30
Prediction: Sol de America de Formosa vs Defensores de Belgrano VR
Team pages: Sol de America de Formosa · Defensores de Belgrano VR
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.03Total
Sol de America de Formosa1.28
Defensores de Belgrano VR0.75
1X2
Sol de America de Formosa
Draw
Defensores de Belgrano VR
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 67%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Sol de America de Formosa
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Defensores de Belgrano VR
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sol de America de Formosa
0–1–1
Defensores de Belgrano VR
(2 last)
- Sol de America de Formosa0-1Defensores de Belgrano VR
- Defensores de Belgrano VR0-0Sol de America de Formosa
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sol de America de Formosa 1477 · Defensores de Belgrano VR 1553
| Sol de America de Formosa | Draw | Defensores de Belgrano VR | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 32% | 21% |
| Market | 49% | 30% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.03 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Defensores de Belgrano VR (rating 1477 vs 1553).
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sol de America de Formosa | Defensores de Belgrano VR | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.2 | 1.2 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.8 | 0.5 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/10/50% | 40/60/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.1 / 4.1 | 2 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.3 | 4.2 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sol de America de Formosa 0–1–1 Defensores de Belgrano VR
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/25 Argentina Torneo A | Sol de America de Formosa | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Defensores de Belgrano VR |
| 27/07/24 Argentina Torneo A | Defensores de Belgrano VR | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sol de America de Formosa |
Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Main round, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Martin Formosa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Defensores de Belgrano VR | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 3 | Sportivo Belgrano | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 5 | CA Douglas Haig | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 5 | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | CA Sarmiento de la Banda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Sol de America de Formosa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 9 | CA Bartolome Mitre | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sol de America de Formosa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | San Martin Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 26/07 | Sarmiento de Resistencia Argentina Torneo A |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 12/07 | Boca Unidos Argentina Torneo A |
0-2 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 05/07 | Tucuman Central Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 28/06 | San Martin Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 21/06 | Defensores Puerto Vilelas Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 14/06 | CA Bartolome Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 07/06 | CA Sarmiento de la Banda Argentina Torneo A |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 31/05 | Juventud Antoniana Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 17/05 | Sarmiento de Resistencia Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
Defensores de Belgrano VR
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | CA Bartolome Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 25/07 | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 13/07 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 05/07 | Escobar FC Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 27/06 | Sportivo Las Parejas Argentina Torneo A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 21/06 | Independiente Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 11 | W |
| 15/06 | Sportivo Belgrano Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 07/06 | CA Douglas Haig Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 31/05 | Club Atlético El Linqueño Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 24/05 | Gimnasia y Esgrima Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sol de America de Formosa vs Defensores de Belgrano VR?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sol de America de Formosa win (48%). Probabilities: Sol de America de Formosa 48%, draw 31%, Defensores de Belgrano VR 21%.
How many goals are expected in Sol de America de Formosa vs Defensores de Belgrano VR?
The model expects 2.03 goals (Sol de America de Formosa 1.28 · Defensores de Belgrano VR 0.75), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Sol de America de Formosa vs Defensores de Belgrano VR?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.