Football · Argentina Torneo A · 17/08, 21:00
Prediction: Sportivo Belgrano vs Defensores de Belgrano VR
Team pages: Sportivo Belgrano · Defensores de Belgrano VR
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.82Total
Sportivo Belgrano1.24
Defensores de Belgrano VR0.58
1X2
Sportivo Belgrano
Draw
Defensores de Belgrano VR
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 55%
Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Sportivo Belgrano
1-7-2 (W-D-L)
Defensores de Belgrano VR
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sportivo Belgrano
1–3–2
Defensores de Belgrano VR
(6 last)
- Sportivo Belgrano1-0Defensores de Belgrano VR
- Defensores de Belgrano VR1-1Sportivo Belgrano
- Sportivo Belgrano0-1Defensores de Belgrano VR
- Defensores de Belgrano VR2-1Sportivo Belgrano
- Defensores de Belgrano VR0-0Sportivo Belgrano
- Sportivo Belgrano0-0Defensores de Belgrano VR
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sportivo Belgrano 1489 · Defensores de Belgrano VR 1518
| Sportivo Belgrano | Draw | Defensores de Belgrano VR | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 32% | 16% |
| Market | 54% | 27% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.82 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Defensores de Belgrano VR: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sportivo Belgrano | Defensores de Belgrano VR | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 1 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.3 | 0.5 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 40/60/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 2.9 | 1.8 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.3 | 3.7 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sportivo Belgrano 1–3–2 Defensores de Belgrano VR
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/06/26 Argentina Torneo A | Sportivo Belgrano | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Defensores de Belgrano VR |
| 12/04/26 Argentina Torneo A | Defensores de Belgrano VR | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Sportivo Belgrano |
| 29/06/25 Argentina Torneo A | Sportivo Belgrano | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Defensores de Belgrano VR |
| 26/04/25 Argentina Torneo A | Defensores de Belgrano VR | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Sportivo Belgrano |
| 15/09/24 Argentina Torneo A | Defensores de Belgrano VR | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sportivo Belgrano |
| 14/07/24 Argentina Torneo A | Sportivo Belgrano | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Defensores de Belgrano VR |
Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Main round, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Martin Formosa | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 10 |
| 2 | Sol de America de Formosa | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 4 | CA Douglas Haig | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| 5 | Defensores de Belgrano VR | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| 7 | CA Sarmiento de la Banda | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 8 | Sportivo Belgrano | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| 9 | CA Bartolome Mitre | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sportivo Belgrano | Defensores de Belgrano VR |
|---|---|---|
| CA 9 de Julio Rafaela | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Escobar FC | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Sportivo Las Parejas | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Independiente Chivilcoy | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| CA Douglas Haig | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 6 D 0 L | 2 W 4 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Defensores de Belgrano VR (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sportivo Belgrano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | San Martin Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 08/08 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 01/08 | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 25/07 | Escobar FC Argentina Torneo A |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 12/07 | Sportivo Las Parejas Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 05/07 | Independiente Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 28/06 | Club Atlético El Linqueño Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 20/06 | CA Douglas Haig Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 15/06 | Defensores de Belgrano VR Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 07/06 | Gimnasia y Esgrima Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
Defensores de Belgrano VR
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | CA Douglas Haig Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 09/08 | Sol de America de Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 02/08 | CA Bartolome Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 25/07 | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 13/07 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 05/07 | Escobar FC Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 27/06 | Sportivo Las Parejas Argentina Torneo A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 21/06 | Independiente Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 11 | W |
| 15/06 | Sportivo Belgrano Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 07/06 | CA Douglas Haig Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sportivo Belgrano vs Defensores de Belgrano VR?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sportivo Belgrano win (53%). Probabilities: Sportivo Belgrano 53%, draw 29%, Defensores de Belgrano VR 18%.
How many goals are expected in Sportivo Belgrano vs Defensores de Belgrano VR?
The model expects 1.82 goals (Sportivo Belgrano 1.24 · Defensores de Belgrano VR 0.58), with a 54% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Sportivo Belgrano vs Defensores de Belgrano VR?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.