Football · Argentina Torneo A · 16/08, 22:00

Prediction: San Martin de Mendoza vs Deportivo Rincon

Team pages: San Martin de Mendoza · Deportivo Rincon

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.94Total
San Martin de Mendoza1.21
Deportivo Rincon0.72
1X2
47% 32% 21%
San Martin de Mendoza Draw Deportivo Rincon
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 59% Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
San Martin de Mendoza 5-4-1 (W-D-L)
WDWLWDDDWW
Deportivo Rincon 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
LWLLLLWWWD
Head-to-head
San Martin de Mendoza 1–2 Deportivo Rincon (3 last)
  • San Martin de Mendoza1-0Deportivo Rincon
  • Deportivo Rincon1-0San Martin de Mendoza
  • Deportivo Rincon2-0San Martin de Mendoza
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · San Martin de Mendoza 1534 · Deportivo Rincon 1504
San Martin de MendozaDrawDeportivo Rincon
Our model47%33%21%
Market47%31%21%
Estimated total (ours) 1.94 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Deportivo Rincon: 2-0-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

San Martin de MendozaDeportivo Rincon
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 0.71 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.30.4 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 51.7 / 2.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 0.14 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · San Martin de Mendoza 102 Deportivo Rincon

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DateHomeScoreAway
05/07/26
Argentina Torneo A
San Martin de Mendoza1-0
HT 1-0
Deportivo Rincon
03/05/26
Argentina Torneo A
Deportivo Rincon1-0
HT 0-0
San Martin de Mendoza
15/09/24
Argentina Torneo A
Deportivo Rincon2-0
HT 0-0
San Martin de Mendoza

Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Relegation round, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Germinal de Rawson 3210 837
2 Deportivo Rincon 3210 627
3 San Martin de Mendoza 3210 537
4 Club Circulo Deportivo 3111 114
4 FADEP Mendoza 3111 114
6 CA Costa Brava 3030 333
7 Juventud Unida Universitario 3102 343
8 Sol de Mayo 3102 463
9 Guillermo Brown 3102 243
10 Santamarina Tandil 3003 170

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSan Martin de MendozaDeportivo Rincon
Sol de Mayo 2-1 W 4-2 W
CA Costa Brava 2-2 D 1-0 W
CDA Monte Maiz 1-1 D 0-2 L
Huracan Las Heras 3-1 W 0-1 L
Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas 0-0 D 0-1 L
Cipolletti 1-0 W 1-2 L
Record vs common 3 W 3 D 0 L 2 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: San Martin de Mendoza (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

San Martin de Mendoza

WDWLWDDDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/08 Sol de Mayo
Argentina Torneo A
2-0 2-1 W
08/08 Santamarina Tandil
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 1-0 21 W
02/08 CA Costa Brava
Argentina Torneo A
2-1 2-2 35 D
26/07 CDA Monte Maiz
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 1-1 80 D
12/07 FADEP Mendoza
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-0 33 D
05/07 Deportivo Rincon
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 1-0 43 W
28/06 CA Costa Brava
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 1-2 43 L
21/06 Huracan Las Heras
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 3-1 56 W
07/06 Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-0 114 D
31/05 Cipolletti
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 1-0 56 W

Deportivo Rincon

LWLLLLWWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/08 Club Circulo Deportivo
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-0 D
08/08 Sol de Mayo
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 4-2 17 W
02/08 Guillermo Brown
Argentina Torneo A
2-0 2-0 W
25/07 CA Costa Brava
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 1-0 44 W
12/07 Huracan Las Heras
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-1 00 L
05/07 San Martin de Mendoza
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 0-1 03 L
27/06 Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-1 87 L
21/06 Cipolletti
Argentina Torneo A
1-1 1-2 31 L
14/06 Juventud Unida Universitario
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 2-1 53 W
07/06 CDA Monte Maiz
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-2 18 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in San Martin de Mendoza vs Deportivo Rincon?

According to our model, the most likely result is a San Martin de Mendoza win (47%). Probabilities: San Martin de Mendoza 47%, draw 32%, Deportivo Rincon 21%.

How many goals are expected in San Martin de Mendoza vs Deportivo Rincon?

The model expects 1.94 goals (San Martin de Mendoza 1.21 · Deportivo Rincon 0.72), with a 51% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in San Martin de Mendoza vs Deportivo Rincon?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.