Football · Hungary NB III · 08/08, 17:30

Prediction: Cigand SE vs FC Tiszaujvaros

Team pages: FC Tiszaujvaros

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.38Total

Cigand SE2.28

FC Tiszaujvaros1.09

1X2

63% 20% 16%

Cigand SE Draw FC Tiszaujvaros

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Cigand SE 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDWLWDDWLW

FC Tiszaujvaros 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LWLDLLDLDL

Head-to-head

Cigand SE 1–1–2 FC Tiszaujvaros (4 last)

FC Tiszaujvaros3-2Cigand SE
Cigand SE1-0FC Tiszaujvaros
FC Tiszaujvaros4-2Cigand SE
FC Tiszaujvaros0-0Cigand SE

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cigand SE 1555 · FC Tiszaujvaros 1429

	Cigand SE	Draw	FC Tiszaujvaros
Our model	63%	21%	16%
Market	64%	20%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 3.38 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cigand SE (rating 1555 vs 1429).
H2H favours FC Tiszaujvaros: 2-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cigand SE	FC Tiszaujvaros
Goals for / against (FT)	2.7 / 0.9	1 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.5	0.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 3.8	0.6 / 2.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.3	4.1 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.42

X4.50

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.88

2 (+1.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 17:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.42▲	Bet365 1.42
X	4.75 → 4.50▼	Bet365 4.50
2	6.50 → 5.50▼	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.8%

Time*	1	X	2
08:09 +2’	1.33	4.75	6.50
17:05 +11’	1.42▲	4.50▼	5.50▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Cigand SE 1–1–2 FC Tiszaujvaros

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/03/26 Hungary NB III	FC Tiszaujvaros	3-2 HT 2-1	Cigand SE
27/08/25 Hungary NB III	Cigand SE	1-0 HT 0-0	FC Tiszaujvaros
06/10/24 Hungary NB III	FC Tiszaujvaros	4-2 HT 0-1	Cigand SE
19/08/23 Hungary NB III	FC Tiszaujvaros	0-0 HT 0-0	Cigand SE

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, North East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Debreceni II	1	1	0	0	5	2	3
2	Godolloi SK	1	1	0	0	3	1	3
2	Nyiregyhaza II	1	1	0	0	3	1	3
4	DEAC	1	1	0	0	2	0	3
5	Tarpa SC	1	1	0	0	2	1	3
6	Egri FC	1	1	0	0	1	0	3
6	Ozd Sajovolgye	1	1	0	0	1	0	3
8	Kisvarda II	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
8	Mateszalkai MTK	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
10	Fuzesabonyi SC	1	0	0	1	1	2	0
11	Cigand SE	1	0	0	1	0	1	0
11	FC Tiszaujvaros	1	0	0	1	0	1	0
13	Diosgyori VTK II	1	0	0	1	1	3	0
13	Salgotarjani BTC	1	0	0	1	1	3	0
15	Tiszafured VSE	1	0	0	1	0	2	0
16	Hajdunanas FK	1	0	0	1	2	5	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cigand SE	FC Tiszaujvaros
Debreceni II	5-0 W	1-4 L
Kisvarda II	0-2 L	1-1 D
Nyiregyhaza II	3-1 W	2-8 L
Fuzesabonyi SC	0-0 D	1-3 L
Ozd Sajovolgye	4-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Cigand SE (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Cigand SE

WDWLWDDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Gesztely FC Hungary Cup	5-0	8-1	4	2	W
26/07	Egri FC Hungary NB III	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
18/07	Diosgyori VTK II Europe Friendlies	2-2	5-2	8	0	W
07/06	FC Nagykanizsa Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
31/05	FC Nagykanizsa Hungary NB III	1-2	2-2	0	7	D
24/05	Debreceni II Hungary NB III	1-0	5-0	–	–	W
17/05	Kisvarda II Hungary NB III	0-0	0-2	3	4	L
10/05	Nyiregyhaza II Hungary NB III	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
03/05	Fuzesabonyi SC Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	4	12	D
26/04	Ozd Sajovolgye Hungary NB III	2-0	4-0	–	–	W

FC Tiszaujvaros

LWLDLLDLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Ozd Sajovolgye Hungary NB III	0-0	0-1	1	7	L
24/05	Tarpa SC Hungary NB III	0-1	1-1	4	4	D
17/05	Debreceni II Hungary NB III	0-0	1-4	0	6	L
10/05	Kisvarda II Hungary NB III	0-0	1-1	7	6	D
03/05	Nyiregyhaza II Hungary NB III	1-2	2-8	3	2	L
26/04	Fuzesabonyi SC Hungary NB III	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
19/04	Ozd Sajovolgye Hungary NB III	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
11/04	Tiszafured VSE Hungary NB III	0-1	0-5	1	5	L
05/04	Senyo Carnifex Hungary NB III	1-0	3-0	0	5	W
29/03	DEAC Hungary NB III	0-0	0-1	1	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cigand SE vs FC Tiszaujvaros?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Cigand SE win (63%). Probabilities: Cigand SE 63%, draw 20%, FC Tiszaujvaros 16%.

How many goals are expected in Cigand SE vs FC Tiszaujvaros?

The model expects 3.38 goals (Cigand SE 2.28 · FC Tiszaujvaros 1.09), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Cigand SE vs FC Tiszaujvaros?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.