Football · Egypt Division 1 · 19/10, 16:00
Prediction: El Gounah vs Smouha
Team pages: El Gounah · Smouha
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.65Total
El Gounah0.67
Smouha0.98
1X2
El Gounah
Draw
Smouha
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 50%
Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
0-0 20%
Recent form · 10 last
El Gounah
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Smouha
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
El Gounah
3–3–0
Smouha
(6 last)
- Smouha0-1El Gounah
- El Gounah1-1Smouha
- El Gounah1-0Smouha
- Smouha0-0El Gounah
- El Gounah1-0Smouha
- Smouha1-1El Gounah
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · El Gounah 1463 · Smouha 1437
| El Gounah | Draw | Smouha | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 23% | 37% | 40% |
| Market | 24% | 34% | 42% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.65 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours El Gounah: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| El Gounah | Smouha | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.2 | 0.3 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.7 | 0.2 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.4 | 1.7 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.2 | 4.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · El Gounah 3–3–0 Smouha
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10/25 Egypt Division 1 | Smouha | 0-1 HT 0-0 | El Gounah |
| 28/04/25 Egypt Division 1 | El Gounah | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Smouha |
| 11/12/24 Egypt League Cup | El Gounah | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Smouha |
| 01/12/24 Egypt Division 1 | Smouha | 0-0 HT 0-0 | El Gounah |
| 17/04/24 Egypt Division 1 | El Gounah | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Smouha |
| 20/09/23 Egypt Division 1 | Smouha | 1-1 HT 1-0 | El Gounah |
Standings · Egypt Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pyramids FC | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
| 2 | Al Ahly Cairo | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 16 |
| 3 | El Zamalek | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 13 |
| 4 | Modern Sport FC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 13 |
| 5 | Al Ittihad Al Sakandary | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 13 |
| 6 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 12 |
| 7 | National Bank | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 9 |
| 8 | Al Moqawloon Al Arab | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 8 |
| 9 | Petrojet | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 8 |
| 10 | ZED FC | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 8 |
| 11 | Al Qanah | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
| 12 | El Masry | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 7 |
| 13 | Smouha | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 |
| 14 | Talaea El Geish | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 7 |
| 15 | Wadi Degla | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
| 16 | Asyut Petroleum | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 |
| 17 | Enppi | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 4 |
| 18 | Abo Qir Semad | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 3 |
| 19 | El Gounah | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 2 |
| 20 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 1 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | El Gounah | Smouha |
|---|---|---|
| Pyramids FC | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Talaea El Geish | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
El Gounah
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Al Ittihad Al Sakandary Egypt Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 16/09 | Petrojet Egypt Division 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 09/09 | Pyramids FC Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 02/09 | Al Moqawloon Al Arab Egypt Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 28/08 | Al Qanah Egypt Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 23/08 | Modern Sport FC Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 28/05 | Petrojet Egypt Division 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 22/05 | Talaea El Geish Egypt Division 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | National Bank Egypt Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 12/05 | Kahraba Ismailia Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
Smouha
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Ghazl El Mahallah Egypt Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 14/09 | Talaea El Geish Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 08/09 | Ceramica Cleopatra Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 03/09 | Al Ahly Cairo Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 26/08 | Asyut Petroleum Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 22/08 | El Masry Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 20/05 | Pyramids FC Egypt Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 05/05 | El Zamalek Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 27/04 | El Masry Egypt Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 22/04 | Ceramica Cleopatra Egypt Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in El Gounah vs Smouha?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Smouha win (41%). Probabilities: El Gounah 24%, draw 35%, Smouha 41%.
How many goals are expected in El Gounah vs Smouha?
The model expects 1.65 goals (El Gounah 0.67 · Smouha 0.98), with a 54% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in El Gounah vs Smouha?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.