Prediction: Boca Unidos vs Independiente Chivilcoy
Team pages: Boca Unidos · Independiente Chivilcoy
- Independiente Chivilcoy4-0Boca Unidos
| Boca Unidos | Draw | Independiente Chivilcoy | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 30% | 25% |
| Market | 45% | 30% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Boca Unidos (rating 1492 vs 1449).
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Boca Unidos | Independiente Chivilcoy | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.5 | 0.5 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 5 | 1.2 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.4 | 3.8 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Boca Unidos 0–0–1 Independiente Chivilcoy
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08/24 Argentina Torneo A | Independiente Chivilcoy | 4-0 HT 0-0 | Boca Unidos |
Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Relegation round, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnasia y Esgrima | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Defensores Puerto Vilelas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Boca Unidos | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Club Atlético El Linqueño | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Independiente Chivilcoy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Sportivo Las Parejas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 7 | Sarmiento de Resistencia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 8 | Escobar FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 9 | Tucuman Central | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Boca Unidos
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Escobar FC Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/07 | Juventud Antoniana Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 12/07 | Sol de America de Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
2-0 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 05/07 | Sarmiento de Resistencia Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 21/06 | Tucuman Central Argentina Torneo A |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 14/06 | San Martin Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 06/06 | Defensores Puerto Vilelas Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 31/05 | CA Bartolome Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 25/05 | CA Sarmiento de la Banda Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Juventud Antoniana Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | D |
Independiente Chivilcoy
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Sportivo Las Parejas Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 12/07 | Club Atlético El Linqueño Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 05/07 | Sportivo Belgrano Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 28/06 | CA Douglas Haig Argentina Torneo A |
0-2 | 0-4 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 21/06 | Defensores de Belgrano VR Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 11 | L |
| 14/06 | Gimnasia y Esgrima Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 07/06 | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 31/05 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 24/05 | Escobar FC Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 17/05 | Sportivo Las Parejas Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Boca Unidos vs Independiente Chivilcoy?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Boca Unidos win (45%). Probabilities: Boca Unidos 45%, draw 30%, Independiente Chivilcoy 25%.
How many goals are expected in Boca Unidos vs Independiente Chivilcoy?
The model expects 2.28 goals (Boca Unidos 1.34 · Independiente Chivilcoy 0.94), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Boca Unidos vs Independiente Chivilcoy?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.