Football · Argentina Torneo A · 08/08, 20:30
Prediction: CA Bartolome Mitre vs CA Sarmiento de la Banda
Team pages: CA Bartolome Mitre · CA Sarmiento de la Banda
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.52Total
CA Bartolome Mitre0.92
CA Sarmiento de la Banda0.6
1X2
CA Bartolome Mitre
Draw
CA Sarmiento de la Banda
Markets
Under 1.5 goals 54%
Not both to score 57%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
CA Bartolome Mitre
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
CA Sarmiento de la Banda
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CA Bartolome Mitre
0–1–3
CA Sarmiento de la Banda
(4 last)
- CA Sarmiento de la Banda1-0CA Bartolome Mitre
- CA Bartolome Mitre0-0CA Sarmiento de la Banda
- CA Bartolome Mitre0-1CA Sarmiento de la Banda
- CA Sarmiento de la Banda1-0CA Bartolome Mitre
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CA Bartolome Mitre 1498 · CA Sarmiento de la Banda 1556
| CA Bartolome Mitre | Draw | CA Sarmiento de la Banda | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 38% | 22% |
| Market | 43% | 32% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.52 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 79%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CA Sarmiento de la Banda (rating 1498 vs 1556).
- H2H favours CA Sarmiento de la Banda: 3-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CA Bartolome Mitre | CA Sarmiento de la Banda | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 1.4 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5 | 3.5 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.1 | 4.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Bartolome Mitre 0–1–3 CA Sarmiento de la Banda
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06/26 Argentina Torneo A | CA Sarmiento de la Banda | 1-0 HT 1-0 | CA Bartolome Mitre |
| 26/04/26 Argentina Torneo A | CA Bartolome Mitre | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CA Sarmiento de la Banda |
| 22/06/25 Argentina Torneo A | CA Bartolome Mitre | 0-1 HT 0-1 | CA Sarmiento de la Banda |
| 18/04/25 Argentina Torneo A | CA Sarmiento de la Banda | 1-0 HT 0-0 | CA Bartolome Mitre |
Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Main round, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Martin Formosa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Defensores de Belgrano VR | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 3 | Sportivo Belgrano | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 5 | CA Douglas Haig | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 5 | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | CA Sarmiento de la Banda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Sol de America de Formosa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 9 | CA Bartolome Mitre | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CA Bartolome Mitre | CA Sarmiento de la Banda |
|---|---|---|
| San Martin Formosa | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Defensores Puerto Vilelas | 1-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Juventud Antoniana | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Sol de America de Formosa | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Sarmiento de Resistencia | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Boca Unidos | 1-2 L | 3-0 W |
| Tucuman Central | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 2 L | 5 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: CA Sarmiento de la Banda (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CA Bartolome Mitre
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Defensores de Belgrano VR Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 26/07 | San Martin Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 12/07 | Defensores Puerto Vilelas Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 28/06 | CA Sarmiento de la Banda Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 20/06 | Juventud Antoniana Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 14/06 | Sol de America de Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 06/06 | Sarmiento de Resistencia Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 31/05 | Boca Unidos Argentina Torneo A |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 25/05 | Tucuman Central Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 17/05 | San Martin Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
CA Sarmiento de la Banda
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Tucuman Central Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 12/07 | San Martin Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 04/07 | Defensores Puerto Vilelas Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 28/06 | CA Bartolome Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 13/06 | Juventud Antoniana Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 07/06 | Sol de America de Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
2-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | Sarmiento de Resistencia Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 25/05 | Boca Unidos Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Tucuman Central Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | San Martin Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
1-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CA Bartolome Mitre vs CA Sarmiento de la Banda?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CA Bartolome Mitre win (42%). Probabilities: CA Bartolome Mitre 42%, draw 35%, CA Sarmiento de la Banda 23%.
How many goals are expected in CA Bartolome Mitre vs CA Sarmiento de la Banda?
The model expects 1.52 goals (CA Bartolome Mitre 0.92 · CA Sarmiento de la Banda 0.6), with a 56% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in CA Bartolome Mitre vs CA Sarmiento de la Banda?
The model gives a 57% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.