Football · Costa Rica Primera Division · 09/08, 04:00
Prediction: Puntarenas vs Deportivo Saprissa
Team pages: Puntarenas · Deportivo Saprissa
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.08Total
Puntarenas1.24
Deportivo Saprissa1.84
1X2
Puntarenas
Draw
Deportivo Saprissa
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Puntarenas
0-5-5 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Saprissa
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Puntarenas
1–2–3
Deportivo Saprissa
(6 last)
- Puntarenas1-3Deportivo Saprissa
- Deportivo Saprissa2-2Puntarenas
- Deportivo Saprissa2-1Puntarenas
- Puntarenas3-1Deportivo Saprissa
- Puntarenas1-2Deportivo Saprissa
- Deportivo Saprissa0-0Puntarenas
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Puntarenas 1440 · Deportivo Saprissa 1581
| Puntarenas | Draw | Deportivo Saprissa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 25% | 50% |
| Market | 24% | 25% | 50% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.08 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Saprissa (rating 1440 vs 1581).
- H2H favours Deportivo Saprissa: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Puntarenas | Deportivo Saprissa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.9 | 1.9 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.1 | 0.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/50/50% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 5.3 | 3.5 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.2 | 4 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Puntarenas 1–2–3 Deportivo Saprissa
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/04/26 Costa Rica Primera Division | Puntarenas | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Deportivo Saprissa |
| 14/01/26 Costa Rica Primera Division | Deportivo Saprissa | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Puntarenas |
| 26/10/25 Costa Rica Primera Division | Deportivo Saprissa | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Puntarenas |
| 11/09/25 Costa Rica Primera Division | Puntarenas | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Saprissa |
| 16/04/25 Costa Rica Primera Division | Puntarenas | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Deportivo Saprissa |
| 13/02/25 Costa Rica Primera Division | Deportivo Saprissa | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Puntarenas |
Standings · Costa Rica Primera Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Saprissa | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Cartagines | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Herediano | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Alajuelense | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Escorpiones de Belen FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Municipal Perez Zeledon | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| 7 | Sporting San Jose | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| 8 | Inter San Carlos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 9 | Puntarenas | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| 10 | AD San Carlos | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Puntarenas | Deportivo Saprissa |
|---|---|---|
| Herediano | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Municipal Perez Zeledon | 3-3 D | 5-1 W |
| Municipal Liberia | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportivo Saprissa (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Puntarenas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Sporting San Jose Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 24/07 | Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 27/04 | Deportivo Saprissa Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 24/04 | Alajuelense Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-3 | 2-5 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 19/04 | Sporting San Jose Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 12/04 | Municipal Perez Zeledon Costa Rica Primera Division |
2-2 | 3-3 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 06/04 | Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 29/03 | Sporting San Jose Costa Rica Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 25/03 | Sporting San Jose Costa Rica Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 21/03 | Municipal Liberia Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
Deportivo Saprissa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Alianza FC Panama CONCACAF Central American Cup |
1-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 03/08 | AD San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 2-1 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 30/07 | UMECIT CONCACAF Central American Cup |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 25/07 | Municipal Perez Zeledon Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 5-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 18/07 | Herediano Costa Rica Super Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 17/05 | Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 14/05 | Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 11/05 | Municipal Liberia Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 8 | W |
| 04/05 | Municipal Liberia Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 27/04 | Puntarenas Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Puntarenas vs Deportivo Saprissa?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Deportivo Saprissa win (50%). Probabilities: Puntarenas 25%, draw 25%, Deportivo Saprissa 50%.
How many goals are expected in Puntarenas vs Deportivo Saprissa?
The model expects 3.08 goals (Puntarenas 1.24 · Deportivo Saprissa 1.84), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Puntarenas vs Deportivo Saprissa?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.