Football · Costa Rica Primera Division · 16/08, 00:00
Prediction: Alajuelense vs Puntarenas
Team pages: Alajuelense · Puntarenas
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.86Total
Alajuelense1.95
Puntarenas0.91
1X2
Alajuelense
Draw
Puntarenas
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Alajuelense
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Puntarenas
0-5-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Alajuelense
1–4–1
Puntarenas
(6 last)
- Alajuelense5-2Puntarenas
- Puntarenas2-0Alajuelense
- Alajuelense2-2Puntarenas
- Puntarenas0-0Alajuelense
- Alajuelense0-0Puntarenas
- Puntarenas0-0Alajuelense
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alajuelense (rating 1547 vs 1447).
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Alajuelense | Puntarenas | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1 | 1.1 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 0/50/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.5 | 2.1 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.3 | 3.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alajuelense 1–4–1 Puntarenas
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/26 Costa Rica Primera Division | Alajuelense | 5-2 HT 3-1 | Puntarenas |
| 01/03/26 Costa Rica Primera Division | Puntarenas | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Alajuelense |
| 27/09/25 Costa Rica Primera Division | Alajuelense | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Puntarenas |
| 17/08/25 Costa Rica Primera Division | Puntarenas | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Alajuelense |
| 15/05/25 Costa Rica Primera Division | Alajuelense | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Puntarenas |
| 12/05/25 Costa Rica Primera Division | Puntarenas | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Alajuelense |
Standings · Costa Rica Primera Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Saprissa | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Cartagines | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Herediano | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Escorpiones de Belen FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Alajuelense | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Municipal Perez Zeledon | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 |
| 7 | Sporting San Jose | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| 8 | Inter San Carlos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 9 | Puntarenas | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
| 10 | AD San Carlos | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Alajuelense | Puntarenas |
|---|---|---|
| Sporting San Jose | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Herediano | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Deportivo Saprissa | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 1 L | 0 W 2 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alajuelense
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Diriangen CONCACAF Central American Cup |
1-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 02/08 | Escorpiones de Belen FC Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 30/07 | Xelaju CONCACAF Central American Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 26/07 | Sporting San Jose Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 13/07 | Herediano Costa Rica Super Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 27/04 | Municipal Liberia Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 24/04 | Puntarenas Costa Rica Primera Division |
3-1 | 5-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 20/04 | Deportivo Saprissa Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 12/04 | Sporting San Jose Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 06/04 | Guadalupe FC Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
Puntarenas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Deportivo Saprissa Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 02/08 | Sporting San Jose Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 24/07 | Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 27/04 | Deportivo Saprissa Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 24/04 | Alajuelense Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-3 | 2-5 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 19/04 | Sporting San Jose Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 12/04 | Municipal Perez Zeledon Costa Rica Primera Division |
2-2 | 3-3 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 06/04 | Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 29/03 | Sporting San Jose Costa Rica Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 25/03 | Sporting San Jose Costa Rica Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alajuelense vs Puntarenas?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Alajuelense win (61%). Probabilities: Alajuelense 61%, draw 23%, Puntarenas 16%.
How many goals are expected in Alajuelense vs Puntarenas?
The model expects 2.86 goals (Alajuelense 1.95 · Puntarenas 0.91), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Alajuelense vs Puntarenas?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.