Football · Costa Rica Primera Division · 15/08, 04:00
Prediction: AD San Carlos vs Herediano
Team pages: AD San Carlos · Herediano
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.18Total
AD San Carlos0.88
Herediano1.3
1X2
AD San Carlos
Draw
Herediano
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 63%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
AD San Carlos
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Herediano
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
AD San Carlos
1–2–3
Herediano
(6 last)
- Herediano1-0AD San Carlos
- AD San Carlos1-0Herediano
- Herediano3-1AD San Carlos
- AD San Carlos2-2Herediano
- AD San Carlos1-1Herediano
- Herediano2-1AD San Carlos
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Herediano (rating 1423 vs 1540).
- H2H favours Herediano: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| AD San Carlos | Herediano | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.9 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.8 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.5 | 2 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.3 | 4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · AD San Carlos 1–2–3 Herediano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/26 Costa Rica Primera Division | Herediano | 1-0 HT 0-0 | AD San Carlos |
| 23/02/26 Costa Rica Primera Division | AD San Carlos | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Herediano |
| 30/11/25 Costa Rica Primera Division | Herediano | 3-1 HT 2-1 | AD San Carlos |
| 25/08/25 Costa Rica Primera Division | AD San Carlos | 2-2 HT 2-0 | Herediano |
| 27/04/25 Costa Rica Primera Division | AD San Carlos | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Herediano |
| 23/02/25 Costa Rica Primera Division | Herediano | 2-1 HT 0-1 | AD San Carlos |
Standings · Costa Rica Primera Division
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Saprissa | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Cartagines | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Herediano | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Escorpiones de Belen FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Alajuelense | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Municipal Perez Zeledon | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 |
| 7 | Sporting San Jose | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| 8 | Inter San Carlos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 9 | Puntarenas | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
| 10 | AD San Carlos | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | AD San Carlos | Herediano |
|---|---|---|
| Inter San Carlos | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Deportivo Saprissa | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Cartagines | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Alajuelense | 0-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 4 L | 1 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Herediano (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
AD San Carlos
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 03/08 | Deportivo Saprissa Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Municipal Perez Zeledon Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 22/04 | Cartagines Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 19/04 | Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 13/04 | Guadalupe FC Costa Rica Primera Division |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 07/04 | Municipal Liberia Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-3 | 1-5 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 23/03 | Deportivo Saprissa Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 15/03 | Sporting San Jose Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 08/03 | Alajuelense Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
Herediano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Alajuelense Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 06/08 | Alianza FC CONCACAF Central American Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 03/08 | Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 31/07 | CD Marathon CONCACAF Central American Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 24/07 | Puntarenas Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 18/07 | Deportivo Saprissa Costa Rica Super Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 13/07 | Alajuelense Costa Rica Super Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Deportivo Saprissa Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 14/05 | Deportivo Saprissa Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Cartagines Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in AD San Carlos vs Herediano?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Herediano win (45%). Probabilities: AD San Carlos 24%, draw 31%, Herediano 45%.
How many goals are expected in AD San Carlos vs Herediano?
The model expects 2.18 goals (AD San Carlos 0.88 · Herediano 1.3), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in AD San Carlos vs Herediano?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.