Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 08/08, 20:00
Prediction: El Porvenir vs Yupanqui
Team pages: El Porvenir · Yupanqui
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.22Total
El Porvenir1.26
Yupanqui0.96
1X2
El Porvenir
Draw
Yupanqui
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
El Porvenir
1-6-3 (W-D-L)
Yupanqui
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
El Porvenir
1–1–1
Yupanqui
(3 last)
- Yupanqui2-2El Porvenir
- El Porvenir0-1Yupanqui
- Yupanqui1-2El Porvenir
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · El Porvenir 1464 · Yupanqui 1470
| El Porvenir | Draw | Yupanqui | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 31% | 27% |
| Market | 42% | 32% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.22 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 11.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| El Porvenir | Yupanqui | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 0.8 | 1.5 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.2 | 0.4 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/90/0% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.9 | 2.5 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.1 | 5.9 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · El Porvenir 1–1–1 Yupanqui
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/04/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Yupanqui | 2-2 HT 0-0 | El Porvenir |
| 27/07/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | El Porvenir | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Yupanqui |
| 24/02/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Yupanqui | 1-2 HT 1-1 | El Porvenir |
Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lujan | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 30 | 16 | 42 |
| 2 | Canuelas FC | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 39 |
| 3 | Deportivo Espanol | 22 | 7 | 11 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 32 |
| 4 | Leones de Rosario | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 31 |
| 5 | Yupanqui | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 29 |
| 6 | General Lamadrid | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 23 | 29 |
| 7 | Sportivo Barracas | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 23 | 28 |
| 8 | Central Cordoba de Rosario | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 26 |
| 9 | El Porvenir | 22 | 4 | 14 | 4 | 17 | 18 | 26 |
| 10 | CA Atlas | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 21 | 26 |
| 11 | Central Ballester | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 24 | 23 |
| 12 | Deportivo Muniz | 22 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 21 | 22 |
| 13 | Fenix | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 22 | 22 |
| 14 | CA Claypole | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 28 | 22 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | El Porvenir | Yupanqui |
|---|---|---|
| Fenix | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Sportivo Barracas | 2-3 L | 3-2 W |
| Lujan | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| General Lamadrid | 1-1 D | 2-4 L |
| Canuelas FC | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Deportivo Muniz | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Deportivo Espanol | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 5 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: El Porvenir (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
El Porvenir
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 28/07 | Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 18/07 | Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 11/07 | Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 05/07 | General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 27/06 | Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 13/06 | CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 10 | L |
| 07/06 | Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 30/05 | Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 23/05 | Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
Yupanqui
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 27/07 | Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 17/07 | Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 11/07 | Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 6 | L |
| 06/07 | Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 27/06 | Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 14/06 | Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 06/06 | Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 31/05 | General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 22/05 | CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in El Porvenir vs Yupanqui?
According to our model, the most likely result is a El Porvenir win (42%). Probabilities: El Porvenir 42%, draw 32%, Yupanqui 27%.
How many goals are expected in El Porvenir vs Yupanqui?
The model expects 2.22 goals (El Porvenir 1.26 · Yupanqui 0.96), with a 51% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in El Porvenir vs Yupanqui?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.