Prediction: Independiente Juniors vs 22 de Julio
Team pages: Independiente Juniors · 22 de Julio
- 22 de Julio0-1Independiente Juniors
- Independiente Juniors2-022 de Julio
- 22 de Julio2-0Independiente Juniors
| Independiente Juniors | Draw | 22 de Julio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 19% | 5% |
| Market | 78% | 16% | 6% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Independiente Juniors (rating 1549 vs 1425).
- H2H favours Independiente Juniors: 2-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Independiente Juniors | 22 de Julio | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 0/0/100% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.1 | 1 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0 | 4 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Independiente Juniors 2–0–1 22 de Julio
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | 22 de Julio | 0-1 | Independiente Juniors |
| 02/07/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | Independiente Juniors | 2-0 HT 1-0 | 22 de Julio |
| 22/04/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | 22 de Julio | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Independiente Juniors |
Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club 9 de Octubre | 19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 35 |
| 2 | Independiente Juniors | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 13 | 34 |
| 3 | Atletico FC Guayaquil | 19 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 22 | 13 | 34 |
| 4 | CD Cuenca Jrs | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 31 |
| 5 | Vinotinto Ecuador | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 17 | 26 |
| 6 | Cumbaya | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 24 |
| 7 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 24 |
| 8 | LDU Portoviejo | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 22 | 22 |
| 9 | CD Vargas Torres | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 20 |
| 10 | Gualaceo SC | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 14 | 19 |
| 11 | 22 de Julio | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 26 | 9 |
| 12 | El Nacional | 19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 30 | 5 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Independiente Juniors | 22 de Julio |
|---|---|---|
| Gualaceo SC | 3-2 W | 1-0 W |
| Vinotinto Ecuador | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Atletico FC Guayaquil | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| CD Vargas Torres | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| CD Cuenca Jrs | 4-0 W | 0-3 L |
| San Antonio FC Cotacachi | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Cumbaya | 0-1 L | 0-4 L |
| Club 9 de Octubre | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Independiente Juniors (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Independiente Juniors
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 23/07 | Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 17/07 | LDU Portoviejo Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 11/07 | Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 09/07 | LDU Quito Ecuador Cup |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 03/07 | CD Vargas Torres Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 10/06 | CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
3-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 05/06 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 30/05 | Cumbaya Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 25/05 | Club 9 de Octubre Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
22 de Julio
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | El Nacional Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 25/07 | Club 9 de Octubre Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 18/07 | Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 02/07 | Cumbaya Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 09/06 | Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 06/06 | CD Vargas Torres Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 30/05 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 21/05 | CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Independiente Juniors vs 22 de Julio?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Independiente Juniors win (77%). Probabilities: Independiente Juniors 77%, draw 17%, 22 de Julio 6%.
How many goals are expected in Independiente Juniors vs 22 de Julio?
The model expects 2.4 goals (Independiente Juniors 2.03 · 22 de Julio 0.37), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Independiente Juniors vs 22 de Julio?
The model gives a 57% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.