Football · Northern Ireland Championship Women · 12/08, 21:00
Prediction: Ballymena Utd (W) vs Sion Swifts (W)
Team pages: Ballymena Utd (W) · Sion Swifts (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.29Total
Ballymena Utd (W)1.14
Sion Swifts (W)3.14
1X2
Ballymena Utd (W)
Draw
Sion Swifts (W)
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-3
Recent form · 10 last
Ballymena Utd (W)
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Sion Swifts (W)
9-1-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ballymena Utd (W)
0–1–4
Sion Swifts (W)
(5 last)
- Sion Swifts (W)3-0Ballymena Utd (W)
- Sion Swifts (W)2-0Ballymena Utd (W)
- Ballymena Utd (W)2-2Sion Swifts (W)
- Sion Swifts (W)6-1Ballymena Utd (W)
- Ballymena Utd (W)0-4Sion Swifts (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ballymena Utd (W) 1495 · Sion Swifts (W) 1644
| Ballymena Utd (W) | Draw | Sion Swifts (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 10% | 14% | 76% |
| Market | 4% | 7% | 89% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.29 goals · Bet365 line 4.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sion Swifts (W) (rating 1495 vs 1644).
- H2H favours Sion Swifts (W): 4-1-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ballymena Utd (W) | Sion Swifts (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.6 | 4.7 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.6 | 1.8 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 70/20/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.8 / 2.2 | 4.4 / 6.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.7 / 0 | 1.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ballymena Utd (W) 0–1–4 Sion Swifts (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/05/26 Northern Ireland Championship Women | Sion Swifts (W) | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Ballymena Utd (W) |
| 03/09/25 Northern Ireland Championship Women | Sion Swifts (W) | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Ballymena Utd (W) |
| 04/06/25 Northern Ireland Championship Women | Ballymena Utd (W) | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Sion Swifts (W) |
| 14/06/23 Northern Ireland League Cup Women | Sion Swifts (W) | 6-1 HT 3-1 | Ballymena Utd (W) |
| 10/05/17 Northern Ireland Premier League Women | Ballymena Utd (W) | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Sion Swifts (W) |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ballymena Utd (W) | Sion Swifts (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Craigavon City (W) | 3-1 W | 6-0 W |
| Ballyclare Comrades (W) | 5-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Bangor FC (W) | 0-0 D | 4-1 W |
| Strabane Athletic (W) | 2-0 W | 9-1 W |
| Ballymoney United (W) | 2-4 L | 6-0 W |
| Mid Ulster (W) | 0-0 D | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 1 L | 6 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Sion Swifts (W) (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ballymena Utd (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Greenisland (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-3 | 1-5 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 29/07 | Craigavon City (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 20/07 | Ballyclare Comrades (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
3-0 | 5-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 17/07 | Craigavon City (W) Northern Ireland Cup Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 08/07 | Bangor FC (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 06/07 | Crusaders Strikers (W) Northern Ireland County Antrim Shield Women |
0-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 24/06 | Strabane Athletic (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 17/06 | Ballymoney United (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 12/06 | Ballyclare Comrades (W) Northern Ireland Cup Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 22/05 | Mid Ulster (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
Sion Swifts (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Strabane Athletic (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
4-0 | 9-1 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 17/07 | Larne FC (W) Northern Ireland Cup Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 10/07 | St. James Swifts (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 08/07 | Ballyclare Comrades (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 03/07 | Mid Ulster (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
3-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 15/05 | Craigavon City (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
3-0 | 6-0 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 06/05 | Ballymena Utd (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 29/04 | Bangor FC (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
2-0 | 4-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 15/04 | Ballymoney United (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
1-0 | 6-0 | 13 | 3 | W |
| 25/03 | Mid Ulster (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
2-1 | 6-1 | 8 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ballymena Utd (W) vs Sion Swifts (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Sion Swifts (W) win (83%). Probabilities: Ballymena Utd (W) 6%, draw 10%, Sion Swifts (W) 83%.
How many goals are expected in Ballymena Utd (W) vs Sion Swifts (W)?
The model expects 4.29 goals (Ballymena Utd (W) 1.14 · Sion Swifts (W) 3.14), with a 53% chance of under 4.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Ballymena Utd (W) vs Sion Swifts (W)?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.