Football · Panama Liga Prom · 05/08, 23:00

Prediction: Union Cocle Reserves vs Udelas FC

Team pages: Union Cocle Reserves · Udelas FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.08Total

Union Cocle Reserves1.32

Udelas FC1.76

1X2

28% 25% 47%

Union Cocle Reserves Draw Udelas FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Union Cocle Reserves 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

DDDLLLLWLL

Udelas FC 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WDDDWLWDLW

Head-to-head

Union Cocle Reserves 0–2 Udelas FC (2 last)

Udelas FC1-0Union Cocle Reserves
Union Cocle Reserves1-2Udelas FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Union Cocle Reserves 1436 · Udelas FC 1533

	Union Cocle Reserves	Draw	Udelas FC
Our model	28%	25%	47%
Market	28%	25%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 3.08 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Udelas FC (rating 1436 vs 1533).
H2H favours Udelas FC: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 11.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Union Cocle Reserves	Udelas FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.7	1.9 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	0.9 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	11/67/22%	56/33/11%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.2	2.4 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.2	6.7 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

13.20

X3.60

21.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.82

2 (-0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	1.90 → 1.90	Bet365 1.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
19:24 +23’	3.20	3.60	1.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Union Cocle Reserves 0–0–2 Udelas FC

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Panama Liga Prom	Udelas FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Union Cocle Reserves
23/01/26 Panama Liga Prom	Union Cocle Reserves	1-2 HT 1-0	Udelas FC

Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, West-South

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SD Atletico Nacional	2	2	0	4	2	6
2	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves	2	2	0	3	1	6
3	Aguilas de la U	2	1	1	5	2	3
4	Udelas FC	2	1	1	4	2	3
5	San Francisco Reserves	2	0	2	2	6	0
6	Union Cocle Reserves	2	0	2	1	6	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Union Cocle Reserves	Udelas FC
SD Atletico Nacional	0-1 L	3-3 D
Aguilas de la U	1-5 L	2-2 D
San Francisco Reserves	3-0 W	3-0 W
CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves	0-1 L	1-2 L
Rayados de Chiriqui	2-2 D	0-1 L
CD Universitario Reserves	1-1 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Udelas FC (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Union Cocle Reserves

DDDLLLLWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	SD Atletico Nacional Panama Liga Prom	0-1	0-1	6	7	L
26/07	Aguilas de la U Panama Liga Prom	1-2	1-5	3	7	L
30/04	San Francisco Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-0	3-0	4	6	W
25/04	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-1	2	7	L
18/04	Aguilas de la U Panama Liga Prom	0-0	1-2	4	2	L
11/04	Udelas FC Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-1	4	3	L
01/04	SD Atletico Nacional Panama Liga Prom	–	2-3	–	–	L
27/03	Veraguas United Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-1	1-1	3	4	D
19/03	Rayados de Chiriqui Panama Liga Prom	0-0	2-2	6	2	D
11/03	CD Universitario Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-1	1-1	6	7	D

Udelas FC

WDDDWLWDLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	San Francisco Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-0	3-0	2	8	W
25/07	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-0	1-2	4	7	L
22/05	CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom	2-1	2-2	6	10	D
15/05	CD Universitario Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	2-1	4	8	W
10/05	Rayados de Chiriqui Panama Liga Prom	–	0-1	–	–	L
07/05	Rayados de Chiriqui Panama Liga Prom	1-0	3-1	5	3	W
02/05	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-2	2-2	2	8	D
26/04	Aguilas de la U Panama Liga Prom	0-0	2-2	2	13	D
17/04	SD Atletico Nacional Panama Liga Prom	3-0	3-3	6	4	D
11/04	Union Cocle Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	1-0	6	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Union Cocle Reserves vs Udelas FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Udelas FC win (47%). Probabilities: Union Cocle Reserves 28%, draw 25%, Udelas FC 47%.

How many goals are expected in Union Cocle Reserves vs Udelas FC?

The model expects 3.08 goals (Union Cocle Reserves 1.32 · Udelas FC 1.76), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Union Cocle Reserves vs Udelas FC?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.