Football · Panama Liga Prom · 14/08, 03:00

Prediction: Sporting San Miguelito Reserves vs Panama City FC

Team pages: Sporting San Miguelito Reserves · Panama City FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.76Total

Sporting San Miguelito Reserves1.36

Panama City FC1.4

1X2

36% 27% 37%

Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Draw Panama City FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Sporting San Miguelito Reserves 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Panama City FC 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Sporting San Miguelito Reserves 1–3–2 Panama City FC (6 last)

Panama City FC2-0Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves0-0Panama City FC
Panama City FC2-4Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves0-0Panama City FC
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves0-0Panama City FC
Panama City FC2-1Sporting San Miguelito Reserves

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sporting San Miguelito Reserves 1456 · Panama City FC 1551

	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves	Draw	Panama City FC
Our model	35%	28%	37%
Market	36%	27%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 2.76 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Panama City FC (rating 1456 vs 1551).
H2H favours Panama City FC: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves	Panama City FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2.4	1.8 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.3	1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/10/60%	67/33/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.8	2.2 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.7	4.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.30

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.95

2 (0)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.93

Under 2.51.88

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
21:08 +12’	2.50	3.30	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sporting San Miguelito Reserves 1–3–2 Panama City FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/04/26 Panama Liga Prom	Panama City FC	2-0 HT 1-0	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
11/02/26 Panama Liga Prom	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves	0-0 HT 0-0	Panama City FC
24/10/25 Panama Liga Prom	Panama City FC	2-4 HT 1-1	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
14/08/25 Panama Liga Prom	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves	0-0 HT 0-0	Panama City FC
11/04/25 Panama Liga Prom	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves	0-0 HT 0-0	Panama City FC
26/01/25 Panama Liga Prom	Panama City FC	2-1 HT 1-0	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves

Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, East-North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Panama City FC	3	2	1	0	5	2	7
2	Academia Costa Del Este	3	2	1	0	5	3	7
3	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves	3	1	1	1	5	6	4
4	CD Arabe Unido Reserves	3	1	0	2	3	2	3
5	Champions FC Academy	3	1	0	2	5	6	3
6	UMECIT Reserves	3	0	1	2	2	6	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves	Panama City FC
Champions FC Academy	3-5 L	2-0 W
CD Arabe Unido Reserves	1-0 W	1-0 W
UMECIT Reserves	1-1 D	0-2 L
Academia Costa Del Este	0-2 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Panama City FC (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sporting San Miguelito Reserves

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/08	Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom	1-4	3-5	9	5	L
31/07	CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-0	1-0	2	2	W
24/07	UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-1	1-1	2	5	D
30/04	Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom	1-0	1-2	4	3	L
25/04	CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-3	1-4	2	5	L
16/04	Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom	0-1	0-2	2	10	L
12/04	UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-2	0-5	14	4	L
02/04	Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom	0-1	0-2	3	7	L
26/03	San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom	3-0	5-2	3	7	W
20/03	Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom	0-1	1-1	7	10	D

Panama City FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom	1-1	2-2	1	4	D
02/08	Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom	1-0	2-0	4	4	W
26/07	CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
01/05	CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-0	1-1	2	6	D
25/04	UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom	–	0-2	–	–	L
18/04	Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
12/04	Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom	1-1	3-2	1	5	W
02/04	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-0	2-0	13	7	W
26/03	Alianza FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	2-1	5-2	3	4	W
22/03	Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-0	2-1	5	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sporting San Miguelito Reserves vs Panama City FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Panama City FC win (37%). Probabilities: Sporting San Miguelito Reserves 36%, draw 27%, Panama City FC 37%.

How many goals are expected in Sporting San Miguelito Reserves vs Panama City FC?

The model expects 2.76 goals (Sporting San Miguelito Reserves 1.36 · Panama City FC 1.4), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Sporting San Miguelito Reserves vs Panama City FC?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.