Football · Panama Liga Prom · 14/08, 01:00

Prediction: Alianza FC Reserves vs Potros Del Este

Team pages: Alianza FC Reserves · Potros Del Este

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.93Total

Alianza FC Reserves1.51

Potros Del Este1.43

1X2

38% 27% 35%

Alianza FC Reserves Draw Potros Del Este

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Alianza FC Reserves 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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Potros Del Este 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Alianza FC Reserves 2–1–1 Potros Del Este (4 last)

Potros Del Este1-2Alianza FC Reserves
Alianza FC Reserves0-2Potros Del Este
Potros Del Este0-2Alianza FC Reserves
Alianza FC Reserves2-2Potros Del Este

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alianza FC Reserves 1472 · Potros Del Este 1479

	Alianza FC Reserves	Draw	Potros Del Este
Our model	38%	27%	35%
Market	38%	27%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 2.93 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Alianza FC Reserves: 2-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Alianza FC Reserves	Potros Del Este
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2	1 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	0.1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	38/38/25%	11/56/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.6	2.3 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.5 / 0.4	5.3 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

12.35

X3.30

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.80

2 (0)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
14:00 +14’	2.35	3.30	2.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Alianza FC Reserves 2–1–1 Potros Del Este

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/04/26 Panama Liga Prom	Potros Del Este	1-2 HT 0-0	Alianza FC Reserves
30/01/26 Panama Liga Prom	Alianza FC Reserves	0-2 HT 0-0	Potros Del Este
25/10/25 Panama Liga Prom	Potros Del Este	0-2	Alianza FC Reserves
15/08/25 Panama Liga Prom	Alianza FC Reserves	2-2 HT 1-0	Potros Del Este

Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, East-South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Potros Del Este	3	3	0	0	5	2	9
2	Chorrillo	4	2	2	0	9	3	8
3	Tauro FC Reserves	3	1	1	1	4	4	4
4	San Martin FC	3	1	0	2	6	7	3
5	Plaza Amador Reserves	4	1	0	3	4	6	3
6	Alianza FC Reserves	3	0	1	2	2	8	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Alianza FC Reserves	Potros Del Este
Chorrillo	0-0 D	0-4 L
Plaza Amador Reserves	1-4 L	1-0 W
San Martin FC	1-4 L	2-1 W
Tauro FC Reserves	2-1 W	2-1 W
UMECIT Reserves	2-3 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Potros Del Este (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alianza FC Reserves

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/08	Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-0	3	8	D
31/07	Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-1	1-4	5	3	L
24/07	San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom	–	1-4	–	–	L
30/04	Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom	1-0	2-0	2	7	W
24/04	Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-0	1-1	11	5	D
17/04	Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom	0-0	2-1	4	4	W
09/04	Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-0	2-1	2	5	W
01/04	San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom	0-1	0-1	8	11	L
26/03	Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom	1-2	2-5	2	4	L
22/03	UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom	–	2-3	–	–	L

Potros Del Este

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/08	San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom	0-0	2-1	5	7	W
02/08	Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	–	2-1	–	–	W
25/07	Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	1-0	2	5	W
30/04	Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-1	0-4	4	5	L
26/04	San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom	0-0	1-1	2	10	D
17/04	Alianza FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	1-2	8	4	L
10/04	Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-2	1-4	6	3	L
02/04	Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-4	8	4	L
28/03	UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-1	1-2	0	5	L
20/03	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-0	1-1	2	10	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alianza FC Reserves vs Potros Del Este?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Alianza FC Reserves win (38%). Probabilities: Alianza FC Reserves 38%, draw 27%, Potros Del Este 35%.

How many goals are expected in Alianza FC Reserves vs Potros Del Este?

The model expects 2.93 goals (Alianza FC Reserves 1.51 · Potros Del Este 1.43), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Alianza FC Reserves vs Potros Del Este?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.