Football · Panama Liga Prom · 14/08, 03:00

Prediction: SD Atletico Nacional vs Udelas FC

Team pages: SD Atletico Nacional · Udelas FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.38Total

SD Atletico Nacional1.82

Udelas FC1.56

1X2

43% 25% 32%

SD Atletico Nacional Draw Udelas FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

SD Atletico Nacional 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWWWDLDWWL

Udelas FC 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DDDWLWDLWW

Head-to-head

SD Atletico Nacional 3–2–1 Udelas FC (6 last)

SD Atletico Nacional3-3Udelas FC
Udelas FC1-1SD Atletico Nacional
SD Atletico Nacional5-1Udelas FC
Udelas FC0-7SD Atletico Nacional
SD Atletico Nacional4-0Udelas FC
Udelas FC2-1SD Atletico Nacional

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SD Atletico Nacional 1519 · Udelas FC 1548

	SD Atletico Nacional	Draw	Udelas FC
Our model	43%	24%	32%
Market	43%	26%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 3.38 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours SD Atletico Nacional: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 12.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SD Atletico Nacional	Udelas FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.9	2.1 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	0.9 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	25/50/25%	56/22/22%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5.4	2.3 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0	7.1 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.50

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.93

2 (+0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 31.88

Under 31.93

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
21:09 +10’	2.10	3.50	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · SD Atletico Nacional 3–2–1 Udelas FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/04/26 Panama Liga Prom	SD Atletico Nacional	3-3 HT 0-3	Udelas FC
12/02/26 Panama Liga Prom	Udelas FC	1-1 HT 0-1	SD Atletico Nacional
03/05/25 Panama Liga Prom	SD Atletico Nacional	5-1 HT 1-1	Udelas FC
08/02/25 Panama Liga Prom	Udelas FC	0-7 HT 0-2	SD Atletico Nacional
25/10/24 Panama Liga Prom	SD Atletico Nacional	4-0 HT 1-0	Udelas FC
10/08/24 Panama Liga Prom	Udelas FC	2-1 HT 1-0	SD Atletico Nacional

Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, West-South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves	3	2	1	0	5	3	7
2	Aguilas de la U	3	2	0	1	9	3	6
3	Udelas FC	3	2	0	1	7	3	6
4	SD Atletico Nacional	3	2	0	1	5	6	6
5	San Francisco Reserves	3	0	1	2	4	8	1
6	Union Cocle Reserves	3	0	0	3	2	9	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SD Atletico Nacional	Udelas FC
Aguilas de la U	1-4 L	2-2 D
Union Cocle Reserves	1-0 W	3-1 W
San Francisco Reserves	3-2 W	3-0 W
CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves	4-3 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Udelas FC (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SD Atletico Nacional

LWWWDLDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Aguilas de la U Panama Liga Prom	–	1-4	–	–	L
01/08	Union Cocle Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-0	1-0	7	7	W
25/07	San Francisco Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	3-2	5	4	W
02/05	Aguilas de la U Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
25/04	San Francisco Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-2	1-3	8	2	L
17/04	Udelas FC Panama Liga Prom	0-3	3-3	5	4	D
10/04	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves Panama Liga Prom	2-0	4-3	6	9	W
01/04	Union Cocle Reserves Panama Liga Prom	–	3-2	–	–	W
27/03	Herrera FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	2-0	6	4	W
22/03	Bocas Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-2	4	7	L

Udelas FC

DDDWLWDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/08	Union Cocle Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-1	3-1	9	8	W
01/08	San Francisco Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-0	3-0	2	8	W
25/07	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-0	1-2	4	7	L
22/05	CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom	2-1	2-2	6	10	D
15/05	CD Universitario Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	2-1	4	8	W
10/05	Rayados de Chiriqui Panama Liga Prom	–	0-1	–	–	L
07/05	Rayados de Chiriqui Panama Liga Prom	1-0	3-1	5	3	W
02/05	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-2	2-2	2	8	D
26/04	Aguilas de la U Panama Liga Prom	0-0	2-2	2	13	D
17/04	SD Atletico Nacional Panama Liga Prom	3-0	3-3	6	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SD Atletico Nacional vs Udelas FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SD Atletico Nacional win (43%). Probabilities: SD Atletico Nacional 43%, draw 25%, Udelas FC 32%.

How many goals are expected in SD Atletico Nacional vs Udelas FC?

The model expects 3.38 goals (SD Atletico Nacional 1.82 · Udelas FC 1.56), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in SD Atletico Nacional vs Udelas FC?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.