Football · Romania Liga I · 10/08, 20:30
Prediction: ACS Sepsi vs FCSB
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.61Total
ACS Sepsi1.05
FCSB1.56
1X2
ACS Sepsi
Draw
FCSB
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
ACS Sepsi
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
FCSB
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
ACS Sepsi
0–1–5
FCSB
(6 last)
- FCSB3-0ACS Sepsi
- ACS Sepsi0-1FCSB
- ACS Sepsi2-2FCSB
- FCSB2-1ACS Sepsi
- FCSB1-0ACS Sepsi
- ACS Sepsi2-5FCSB
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · ACS Sepsi 1528 · FCSB 1480
| ACS Sepsi | Draw | FCSB | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 24% | 28% | 48% |
| Market | 25% | 27% | 48% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.61 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours ACS Sepsi (rating 1528 vs 1480).
- H2H favours FCSB: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| ACS Sepsi | FCSB | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.9 | 1.3 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.1 / 2.9 | 2.1 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.1 | 5.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · ACS Sepsi 0–1–5 FCSB
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02/25 Romania Liga I | FCSB | 3-0 HT 3-0 | ACS Sepsi |
| 29/09/24 Romania Liga I | ACS Sepsi | 0-1 HT 0-1 | FCSB |
| 24/04/24 Romania Liga I | ACS Sepsi | 2-2 HT 1-2 | FCSB |
| 17/03/24 Romania Liga I | FCSB | 2-1 HT 2-1 | ACS Sepsi |
| 11/02/24 Romania Liga I | FCSB | 1-0 HT 1-0 | ACS Sepsi |
| 24/09/23 Romania Liga I | ACS Sepsi | 2-5 HT 0-2 | FCSB |
Standings · Romania Liga I
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rapid Bucuresti | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 8 |
| 2 | FCSB | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | CS U Craiova | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 6 |
| 4 | Universitatea Cluj | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | FC Arges Pitesti | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Otelul Galati | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| 7 | Dinamo Bucharest | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 4 |
| 8 | Farul Constanta | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 9 | CS Corvinul Hunedoara | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | ACS Sepsi | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 11 | FC Voluntari | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 4 |
| 12 | CFR Cluj | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 3 |
| 13 | Petrolul Ploiesti | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3 |
| 14 | FC Botosani | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| 15 | ACS UTA Batrana Doamna | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 2 |
| 16 | FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
ACS Sepsi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | CS Corvinul Hunedoara Romania Liga I |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 26/07 | Universitatea Cluj Romania Liga I |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 20/07 | Rapid Bucuresti Romania Liga I |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 20/06 | FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Chindia Targoviste Romania Liga 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 12/05 | FC Voluntari Romania Liga 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 07/05 | CSA Steaua Bucuresti Romania Liga 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | CS Corvinul Hunedoara Romania Liga 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 23/04 | FC Bihor Oradea Romania Liga 2 |
0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 18/04 | Chindia Targoviste Romania Liga 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
FCSB
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Farul Constanta Romania Liga I |
0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 30/07 | FK Auda UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 26/07 | FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc Romania Liga I |
2-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 23/07 | FK Auda UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
1-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 17/07 | FC Arges Pitesti Romania Liga I |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 05/07 | Union Saint Gilloise Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 29/05 | Dinamo Bucharest Romania Liga I |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 12 | D |
| 24/05 | FC Botosani Romania Liga I |
1-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 18/05 | AFC Hermannstadt Romania Liga I |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 11/05 | FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia Romania Liga I |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in ACS Sepsi vs FCSB?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FCSB win (48%). Probabilities: ACS Sepsi 25%, draw 28%, FCSB 48%.
How many goals are expected in ACS Sepsi vs FCSB?
The model expects 2.61 goals (ACS Sepsi 1.05 · FCSB 1.56), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in ACS Sepsi vs FCSB?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.