Football · Romania Liga I · 16/08, 20:30

Prediction: Otelul Galati vs CS U Craiova

Team pages: Otelul Galati · CS U Craiova

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.51Total

Otelul Galati0.98

CS U Craiova1.53

1X2

23% 28% 49%

Otelul Galati Draw CS U Craiova

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Otelul Galati 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

DDWWDWWDDL

CS U Craiova 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WDWWLLDWDL

Head-to-head

Otelul Galati 1–2–3 CS U Craiova (6 last)

CS U Craiova1-0Otelul Galati
Otelul Galati1-0CS U Craiova
CS U Craiova2-1Otelul Galati
Otelul Galati1-1CS U Craiova
CS U Craiova0-0Otelul Galati
Otelul Galati1-3CS U Craiova

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Otelul Galati 1536 · CS U Craiova 1516

	Otelul Galati	Draw	CS U Craiova
Our model	23%	28%	49%
Market	23%	28%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 2.51 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours CS U Craiova: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Otelul Galati	CS U Craiova
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.2	1.8 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	0.8 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.6	2.4 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.2	4.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.90

X3.30

21.85

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.90

2 (-0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.98

Under 2.51.82

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 10:44

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.00 → 3.90▼	Pinn 4.15
X	3.30 → 3.30	Pinn 3.57 ★
2	1.83 → 1.85▲	Bet365 1.85

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10% Pinnacle margin 6.7%

Time*	1	X	2
06:25 +5’	4.00	3.30	1.83
10:41 +3’	3.90▼	3.30	1.85▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:49	4.16	3.57	1.83
14:28	4.15▼	3.57	1.83▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Otelul Galati 1–2–3 CS U Craiova

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/02/26 Romania Liga I	CS U Craiova	1-0 HT 0-0	Otelul Galati
20/09/25 Romania Liga I	Otelul Galati	1-0 HT 1-0	CS U Craiova
14/02/25 Romania Liga I	CS U Craiova	2-1 HT 0-0	Otelul Galati
05/10/24 Romania Liga I	Otelul Galati	1-1 HT 1-1	CS U Craiova
04/04/24 Romania Cup	CS U Craiova	0-0 HT 0-0	Otelul Galati
26/11/23 Romania Liga I	Otelul Galati	1-3 HT 1-0	CS U Craiova

Standings · Romania Liga I

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Arges Pitesti	4	3	0	1	3	2	9
2	FCSB	4	2	2	0	6	2	8
3	Rapid Bucuresti	4	2	2	0	5	2	8
4	Dinamo Bucharest	4	2	1	1	10	3	7
5	Farul Constanta	4	2	1	1	8	6	7
6	CS U Craiova	4	2	0	2	9	6	6
7	Universitatea Cluj	3	2	0	1	4	3	6
8	Petrolul Ploiesti	4	2	0	2	2	5	6
9	CS Corvinul Hunedoara	4	1	2	1	4	3	5
10	Otelul Galati	4	1	2	1	5	5	5
11	ACS Sepsi	4	1	2	1	2	2	5
12	FC Voluntari	4	1	1	2	3	11	4
13	CFR Cluj	3	1	0	2	7	5	3
14	FC Botosani	4	0	3	1	4	5	3
15	ACS UTA Batrana Doamna	4	0	2	2	2	7	2
16	FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc	4	0	0	4	2	9	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Otelul Galati	CS U Craiova
Petrolul Ploiesti	0-1 L	4-0 W
Dinamo Bucharest	1-1 D	1-5 L
ACS UTA Batrana Doamna	2-2 D	4-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: CS U Craiova (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Otelul Galati

DDWWDWWDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Petrolul Ploiesti Romania Liga I	0-1	0-1	5	6	L
31/07	Dinamo Bucharest Romania Liga I	0-1	1-1	3	3	D
24/07	ACS UTA Batrana Doamna Romania Liga I	2-0	2-2	4	2	D
18/07	CFR Cluj Romania Liga I	1-0	2-1	6	1	W
11/07	FCM Bacau Europe Friendlies	1-1	3-1	8	7	W
03/07	Farul Constanta Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
18/05	Petrolul Ploiesti Romania Liga I	3-1	5-1	5	5	W
09/05	Farul Constanta Romania Liga I	1-0	3-2	3	8	W
02/05	Metaloglobus Bucuresti Romania Liga I	0-2	2-2	3	5	D
25/04	FC Botosani Romania Liga I	0-0	1-1	4	2	D

CS U Craiova

WDWWLLDWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	FC Arges Pitesti Romania Liga I	0-1	0-1	12	6	L
06/08	KuPS Kuopio UEFA Europa League Qualifying	1-0	1-1	2	3	D
01/08	Petrolul Ploiesti Romania Liga I	2-0	4-0	4	3	W
29/07	Levski Sofia UEFA Champions League Qualifying	1-2	2-2	9	6	D
25/07	Dinamo Bucharest Romania Liga I	0-2	1-5	1	4	L
22/07	Levski Sofia UEFA Champions League Qualifying	0-1	0-1	4	5	L
18/07	ACS UTA Batrana Doamna Romania Liga I	0-0	4-0	4	4	W
15/07	FC ML Vitebsk UEFA Champions League Qualifying	0-0	1-0	8	3	W
12/07	Universitatea Cluj Romania Supercup	1-0	1-1	8	5	D
08/07	FC ML Vitebsk UEFA Champions League Qualifying	3-1	4-1	5	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Otelul Galati vs CS U Craiova?

According to our model, the most likely result is an CS U Craiova win (49%). Probabilities: Otelul Galati 23%, draw 28%, CS U Craiova 49%.

How many goals are expected in Otelul Galati vs CS U Craiova?

The model expects 2.51 goals (Otelul Galati 0.98 · CS U Craiova 1.53), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Otelul Galati vs CS U Craiova?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.