Football · Romania Liga I · 17/08, 20:30

Prediction: FCSB vs FC Botosani

Team pages: FCSB · FC Botosani

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.01Total

FCSB2.04

FC Botosani0.97

1X2

61% 23% 16%

FCSB Draw FC Botosani

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FCSB 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LDDLWLWLDD

FC Botosani 1-7-2 (W-D-L)

DDLDWDDDLD

Head-to-head

FCSB 2–1–3 FC Botosani (6 last)

FCSB3-3FC Botosani
FC Botosani3-2FCSB
FCSB2-1FC Botosani
FC Botosani3-1FCSB
FCSB2-1FC Botosani
FC Botosani1-0FCSB

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FCSB 1476 · FC Botosani 1494

	FCSB	Draw	FC Botosani
Our model	61%	23%	16%
Market	61%	23%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 3.01 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FC Botosani: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FCSB	FC Botosani
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.9	1.2 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.9	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 5.2	2.3 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.2 / 0	5.2 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.50

X3.90

25.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.93

2 (+1)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 05:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.50▼	Pinn 1.53
X	3.70 → 3.90▲	Pinn 4.23 ★
2	4.75 → 5.75▲	Bet365 5.75

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 9.7% Pinnacle margin 6.9%

Time*	1	X	2
12:57 +5’	1.61	3.70	4.75
05:12 +2’	1.50▼	3.90▲	5.75▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:46	1.52	4.30	5.54
03:47 +1’	1.53▲	4.26▼	5.53▼
19:09	1.53▲	4.23▼	5.53

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.75

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FCSB 2–1–3 FC Botosani

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Romania Liga I	FCSB	3-3 HT 1-1	FC Botosani
03/04/26 Romania Liga I	FC Botosani	3-2 HT 1-2	FCSB
05/02/26 Romania Liga I	FCSB	2-1 HT 1-0	FC Botosani
19/09/25 Romania Liga I	FC Botosani	3-1 HT 1-1	FCSB
08/12/24 Romania Liga I	FCSB	2-1 HT 1-0	FC Botosani
21/11/24 Romania Liga I	FC Botosani	1-0 HT 0-0	FCSB

Standings · Romania Liga I

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Arges Pitesti	4	3	0	1	3	2	9
2	FCSB	4	2	2	0	6	2	8
3	Rapid Bucuresti	4	2	2	0	5	2	8
4	Dinamo Bucharest	4	2	1	1	10	3	7
5	Farul Constanta	4	2	1	1	8	6	7
6	CS U Craiova	4	2	0	2	9	6	6
7	Universitatea Cluj	3	2	0	1	4	3	6
8	Petrolul Ploiesti	4	2	0	2	2	5	6
9	CS Corvinul Hunedoara	4	1	2	1	4	3	5
10	Otelul Galati	4	1	2	1	5	5	5
11	ACS Sepsi	4	1	2	1	2	2	5
12	FC Voluntari	4	1	1	2	3	11	4
13	CFR Cluj	3	1	0	2	7	5	3
14	FC Botosani	4	0	3	1	4	5	3
15	ACS UTA Batrana Doamna	4	0	2	2	2	7	2
16	FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc	4	0	0	4	2	9	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FCSB	FC Botosani
Farul Constanta	2-2 D	1-1 D
FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc	2-0 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 0 L	0 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FCSB (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FCSB

LDDLWLWLDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/08	ACS Sepsi Romania Liga I	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
03/08	Farul Constanta Romania Liga I	0-2	2-2	5	6	D
30/07	FK Auda UEFA Conference League Qualifying	0-1	1-4	4	5	L
26/07	FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc Romania Liga I	2-0	2-0	8	5	W
23/07	FK Auda UEFA Conference League Qualifying	1-2	2-3	7	5	L
17/07	FC Arges Pitesti Romania Liga I	2-0	2-0	7	3	W
05/07	Union Saint Gilloise Europe Friendlies	0-2	0-4	3	0	L
29/05	Dinamo Bucharest Romania Liga I	1-0	1-1	2	12	D
24/05	FC Botosani Romania Liga I	1-1	3-3	7	7	D
18/05	AFC Hermannstadt Romania Liga I	0-1	0-2	4	4	L

FC Botosani

DDLDWDDDLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/08	CS Corvinul Hunedoara Romania Liga I	0-0	0-0	10	7	D
03/08	Universitatea Cluj Romania Liga I	1-0	1-2	2	5	L
27/07	Rapid Bucuresti Romania Liga I	0-1	1-1	5	12	D
17/07	FC Voluntari Romania Liga I	1-1	2-2	1	0	D
04/07	Ludogorets Razgrad Europe Friendlies	1-2	2-2	9	3	D
25/06	Dunfermline Club Friendly List	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
24/05	FCSB Romania Liga I	1-1	3-3	5	7	D
16/05	FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc Romania Liga I	0-0	0-2	7	6	L
10/05	Petrolul Ploiesti Romania Liga I	0-0	1-1	6	5	D
02/05	Farul Constanta Romania Liga I	1-0	1-1	2	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FCSB vs FC Botosani?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FCSB win (61%). Probabilities: FCSB 61%, draw 23%, FC Botosani 16%.

How many goals are expected in FCSB vs FC Botosani?

The model expects 3.01 goals (FCSB 2.04 · FC Botosani 0.97), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FCSB vs FC Botosani?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.