Football · Romania Liga I · 15/08, 17:30

Prediction: FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc vs ACS Sepsi

Team pages: FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc · ACS Sepsi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.94Total

FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc0.87

ACS Sepsi1.06

1X2

29% 31% 39%

FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc Draw ACS Sepsi

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 59% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

0-0

Recent form · 10 last

FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

LWLWLLLLLL

ACS Sepsi 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LWWLDWLWDD

Head-to-head

FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc 0–2–2 ACS Sepsi (4 last)

ACS Sepsi2-0FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc
ACS Sepsi1-1FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc
FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc0-0ACS Sepsi
FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc1-2ACS Sepsi

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc 1436 · ACS Sepsi 1513

	FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc	Draw	ACS Sepsi
Our model	28%	34%	38%
Market	30%	29%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 1.94 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours ACS Sepsi (rating 1436 vs 1513).
H2H favours ACS Sepsi: 2-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc	ACS Sepsi
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.7	1.1 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.9	0.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/70/30%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 2.4	1.9 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0	4.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.00

X3.10

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.80

2 (-0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.02

Under 2.251.77

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 04:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.00▼	Pinn 3.01
X	3.10 → 3.10	Pinn 3.27 ★
2	2.20 → 2.25▲	Pinn 2.37

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10% Pinnacle margin 6%

Time*	1	X	2
13:37 +1’	3.10	3.10	2.20
04:46 +3’	3.00▼	3.10	2.25▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:38 +1’	2.98	3.20	2.36
15:31	3.02▲	3.24▲	2.38▲
17:33 +2’	3.01▼	3.24	2.38
19:08	3.01	3.25▲	2.37▼
21:04 +3’	3.01	3.27▲	2.37

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.25

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc 0–2–2 ACS Sepsi

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/06/26 Europe Friendlies	ACS Sepsi	2-0 HT 2-0	FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc
28/03/26 Europe Friendlies	ACS Sepsi	1-1 HT 0-1	FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc
28/10/25 Romania Cup	FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc	0-0 HT 0-0	ACS Sepsi
23/03/24 Club Friendly List	FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc	1-2 HT 0-2	ACS Sepsi

Standings · Romania Liga I

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Arges Pitesti	4	3	0	1	3	2	9
2	FCSB	4	2	2	0	6	2	8
3	Rapid Bucuresti	4	2	2	0	5	2	8
4	Dinamo Bucharest	4	2	1	1	10	3	7
5	Farul Constanta	4	2	1	1	8	6	7
6	CS U Craiova	4	2	0	2	9	6	6
7	Universitatea Cluj	3	2	0	1	4	3	6
8	Petrolul Ploiesti	4	2	0	2	2	5	6
9	CS Corvinul Hunedoara	4	1	2	1	4	3	5
10	Otelul Galati	4	1	2	1	5	5	5
11	ACS Sepsi	4	1	2	1	2	2	5
12	FC Voluntari	4	1	1	2	3	11	4
13	CFR Cluj	3	1	0	2	7	5	3
14	FC Botosani	4	0	3	1	4	5	3
15	ACS UTA Batrana Doamna	4	0	2	2	2	7	2
16	FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc	4	0	0	4	2	9	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc	ACS Sepsi
FCSB	0-2 L	0-0 D
CS Corvinul Hunedoara	0-3 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: ACS Sepsi (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc

LWLWLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Farul Constanta Romania Liga I	1-3	2-3	3	6	L
31/07	FC Arges Pitesti Romania Liga I	0-0	0-1	2	7	L
26/07	FCSB Romania Liga I	0-2	0-2	3	5	L
20/07	CS Corvinul Hunedoara Romania Liga I	0-0	0-3	4	0	L
08/07	Slaven Belupo Europe Friendlies	1-1	1-3	2	4	L
04/07	FC Brno Europe Friendlies	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
01/07	Radnicki Nis Europe Friendlies	0-0	2-0	4	3	W
20/06	ACS Sepsi Europe Friendlies	0-2	0-2	1	4	L
16/05	FC Botosani Romania Liga I	0-0	2-0	2	6	W
08/05	ACS UTA Batrana Doamna Romania Liga I	0-0	0-1	1	3	L

ACS Sepsi

LWWLDWLWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/08	FCSB Romania Liga I	0-0	0-0	8	5	D
02/08	CS Corvinul Hunedoara Romania Liga I	1-1	1-1	2	3	D
26/07	Universitatea Cluj Romania Liga I	1-0	1-0	3	3	W
20/07	Rapid Bucuresti Romania Liga I	0-0	0-1	2	5	L
20/06	FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc Europe Friendlies	2-0	2-0	1	4	W
16/05	Chindia Targoviste Romania Liga 2	0-0	1-1	6	3	D
12/05	FC Voluntari Romania Liga 2	0-2	0-2	4	5	L
07/05	CSA Steaua Bucuresti Romania Liga 2	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
02/05	CS Corvinul Hunedoara Romania Liga 2	1-0	2-1	4	5	W
23/04	FC Bihor Oradea Romania Liga 2	0-2	2-3	3	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc vs ACS Sepsi?

According to our model, the most likely result is an ACS Sepsi win (39%). Probabilities: FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc 29%, draw 31%, ACS Sepsi 39%.

How many goals are expected in FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc vs ACS Sepsi?

The model expects 1.94 goals (FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc 0.87 · ACS Sepsi 1.06), with a 58% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc vs ACS Sepsi?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.