Football · Romania Liga I · 09/08, 17:30

Prediction: Petrolul Ploiesti vs Otelul Galati

Team pages: Petrolul Ploiesti · Otelul Galati

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.32Total
Petrolul Ploiesti1.15
Otelul Galati1.17
1X2
34% 30% 35%
Petrolul Ploiesti Draw Otelul Galati
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Petrolul Ploiesti 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
DLLWLDDWLL
Otelul Galati 5-5-0 (W-D-L)
WDDWWDWWDD
Head-to-head
Petrolul Ploiesti 0–4–2 Otelul Galati (6 last)
  • Petrolul Ploiesti1-5Otelul Galati
  • Petrolul Ploiesti0-0Otelul Galati
  • Otelul Galati0-0Petrolul Ploiesti
  • Petrolul Ploiesti1-3Otelul Galati
  • Otelul Galati0-0Petrolul Ploiesti
  • Petrolul Ploiesti0-0Otelul Galati
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Petrolul Ploiesti 1458 · Otelul Galati 1558
Petrolul PloiestiDrawOtelul Galati
Our model34%31%35%
Market35%30%35%
Estimated total (ours) 2.32 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Otelul Galati (rating 1458 vs 1558).
  • H2H favours Otelul Galati: 2-4-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Petrolul PloiestiOtelul Galati
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 2.12 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 1.40.9 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/30/50%50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 4.92.2 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.8 / 0.34.1 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Petrolul Ploiesti 042 Otelul Galati

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DateHomeScoreAway
18/05/26
Romania Liga I
Petrolul Ploiesti1-5
HT 1-3
Otelul Galati
08/11/25
Romania Liga I
Petrolul Ploiesti0-0
HT 0-0
Otelul Galati
13/07/25
Romania Liga I
Otelul Galati0-0
HT 0-0
Petrolul Ploiesti
12/05/25
Romania Liga I
Petrolul Ploiesti1-3
HT 1-1
Otelul Galati
18/01/25
Romania Liga I
Otelul Galati0-0
HT 0-0
Petrolul Ploiesti
23/08/24
Romania Liga I
Petrolul Ploiesti0-0
HT 0-0
Otelul Galati

Standings · Romania Liga I

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Rapid Bucuresti 4220 528
2 FCSB 3210 627
3 CS U Craiova 3201 956
4 Universitatea Cluj 3201 436
5 FC Arges Pitesti 3201 226
6 Otelul Galati 3120 545
7 Dinamo Bucharest 3111 634
8 Farul Constanta 3111 544
9 CS Corvinul Hunedoara 3111 434
10 ACS Sepsi 3111 224
11 FC Voluntari 3111 374
12 CFR Cluj 3102 753
13 Petrolul Ploiesti 3102 153
14 FC Botosani 3021 452
15 ACS UTA Batrana Doamna 4022 272
16 FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc 3003 060

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPetrolul PloiestiOtelul Galati
Dinamo Bucharest 1-0 W 1-1 D
FC Botosani 1-1 D 1-1 D
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 0 L 0 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Petrolul Ploiesti (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Petrolul Ploiesti

DLLWLDDWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 CS U Craiova
Romania Liga I
0-2 0-4 23 L
24/07 FC Arges Pitesti
Romania Liga I
0-1 0-1 610 L
19/07 Dinamo Bucharest
Romania Liga I
1-0 1-0 37 W
11/07 Chindia Targoviste
Europe Friendlies
1-1 2-2 D
10/07 ASA Targu Mures
Europe Friendlies
1-1 1-1 70 D
03/07 Arka Gdynia
Europe Friendlies
0-1 0-2 41 L
02/07 Chojniczanka Chojnice
Europe Friendlies
2-1 4-1 82 W
30/06 Olimpia Grudziadz
Europe Friendlies
1-4 1-4 34 L
18/05 Otelul Galati
Romania Liga I
1-3 1-5 75 L
10/05 FC Botosani
Romania Liga I
0-0 1-1 45 D

Otelul Galati

WDDWWDWWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/07 Dinamo Bucharest
Romania Liga I
0-1 1-1 33 D
24/07 ACS UTA Batrana Doamna
Romania Liga I
2-0 2-2 42 D
18/07 CFR Cluj
Romania Liga I
1-0 2-1 61 W
11/07 FCM Bacau
Europe Friendlies
1-1 3-1 87 W
03/07 Farul Constanta
Europe Friendlies
0-0 0-0 D
18/05 Petrolul Ploiesti
Romania Liga I
3-1 5-1 55 W
09/05 Farul Constanta
Romania Liga I
1-0 3-2 38 W
02/05 Metaloglobus Bucuresti
Romania Liga I
0-2 2-2 35 D
25/04 FC Botosani
Romania Liga I
0-0 1-1 42 D
17/04 ACS UTA Batrana Doamna
Romania Liga I
1-0 1-0 87 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Petrolul Ploiesti vs Otelul Galati?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Otelul Galati win (35%). Probabilities: Petrolul Ploiesti 34%, draw 30%, Otelul Galati 35%.

How many goals are expected in Petrolul Ploiesti vs Otelul Galati?

The model expects 2.32 goals (Petrolul Ploiesti 1.15 · Otelul Galati 1.17), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Petrolul Ploiesti vs Otelul Galati?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.