Prediction: FK Sumqayit vs FK Gabala
Team pages: FK Sumqayit · FK Gabala
- FK Sumqayit1-0FK Gabala
- FK Sumqayit0-0FK Gabala
- FK Gabala0-2FK Sumqayit
- FK Sumqayit1-0FK Gabala
- FK Gabala0-1FK Sumqayit
- FK Sumqayit0-0FK Gabala
| FK Sumqayit | Draw | FK Gabala | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 32% | 31% |
| Market | 38% | 30% | 32% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours FK Sumqayit: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Sumqayit | FK Gabala | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.7 | 0.8 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.7 | 1.5 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.2 | 3.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Sumqayit 4–2–0 FK Gabala
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/26 Azerbaijan Premier League | FK Sumqayit | 1-0 HT 1-0 | FK Gabala |
| 20/02/26 Azerbaijan Premier League | FK Sumqayit | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FK Gabala |
| 07/11/25 Azerbaijan Premier League | FK Gabala | 0-2 HT 0-0 | FK Sumqayit |
| 25/05/24 Azerbaijan Premier League | FK Sumqayit | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FK Gabala |
| 23/01/24 Azerbaijan Premier League | FK Gabala | 0-1 HT 0-0 | FK Sumqayit |
| 29/10/23 Azerbaijan Premier League | FK Sumqayit | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FK Gabala |
Standings · Azerbaijan Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Baku | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 5 | 15 |
| 2 | Sabah | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 15 |
| 3 | FK Qarabag | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | PFK Turan Tovuz | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 11 |
| 5 | Zira IK | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 10 |
| 6 | FK Kapaz | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 |
| 7 | Shamakhi FK | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 8 | Imisli | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 4 |
| 9 | FK Gabala | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 4 |
| 10 | Safa Baku | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 3 |
| 11 | Araz FK | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 2 |
| 12 | FK Sumqayit | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FK Sumqayit | FK Gabala |
|---|---|---|
| FK Kapaz | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Shamakhi FK | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| PFK Turan Tovuz | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| FK Qarabag | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Neftchi Baku | 1-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Zira IK | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Imisli | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 4 L | 1 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: FK Sumqayit (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Sumqayit
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | FK Kapaz Azerbaijan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 12/09 | Shamakhi FK Azerbaijan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 06/09 | PFK Turan Tovuz Azerbaijan Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 31/08 | FK Qarabag Azerbaijan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 16/08 | Neftchi Baku Azerbaijan Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 22/05 | FK Qarabag Azerbaijan Premier League |
0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Zira IK Azerbaijan Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Araz FK Azerbaijan Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | FK Kapaz Azerbaijan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Imisli Azerbaijan Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
FK Gabala
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Neftchi Baku Azerbaijan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | FK Kapaz Azerbaijan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 04/09 | Imisli Azerbaijan Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 29/08 | Shamakhi FK Azerbaijan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 22/08 | Safa Baku Azerbaijan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 14/08 | PFK Turan Tovuz Azerbaijan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 21/05 | Shamakhi FK Azerbaijan Premier League |
3-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 15/05 | FK Karvan Azerbaijan Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | FK Qarabag Azerbaijan Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | Zira IK Azerbaijan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Sumqayit vs FK Gabala?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Sumqayit win (37%). Probabilities: FK Sumqayit 37%, draw 31%, FK Gabala 32%.
How many goals are expected in FK Sumqayit vs FK Gabala?
The model expects 2.15 goals (FK Sumqayit 1.13 · FK Gabala 1.02), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Sumqayit vs FK Gabala?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.