Prediction: Araz FK vs FK Kapaz

Team pages: Araz FK · FK Kapaz

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.4Total
Araz FK1.23
FK Kapaz1.16
1X2
37% 30% 33%
Araz FK Draw FK Kapaz
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Araz FK 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
LLWWDLLLDL
FK Kapaz 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
LWWLLLWLWD
Head-to-head
Araz FK 3–3–0 FK Kapaz (6 last)
  • Araz FK2-0FK Kapaz
  • Araz FK2-0FK Kapaz
  • Araz FK0-0FK Kapaz
  • FK Kapaz0-2Araz FK
  • FK Kapaz0-0Araz FK
  • Araz FK0-0FK Kapaz
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Araz FK 1457 · FK Kapaz 1464
Araz FKDrawFK Kapaz
Our model37%30%33%
Market37%30%33%
Estimated total (ours) 2.4 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Araz FK: 3-3-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Araz FKFK Kapaz
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.80.7 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.90 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/20/50%0/70/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 4.30.9 / 2.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.6 / 05.6 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Araz FK 3–3–0 FK Kapaz

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DateHomeScoreAway
15/05/26
Azerbaijan Premier League
Araz FK2-0
HT 1-0
FK Kapaz
09/12/25
Azerbaijan Premier League
Araz FK2-0
HT 1-0
FK Kapaz
04/12/25
Azerbaijan Cup
Araz FK0-0
HT 0-0
FK Kapaz
12/09/25
Azerbaijan Premier League
FK Kapaz0-2
HT 0-0
Araz FK
13/04/25
Azerbaijan Premier League
FK Kapaz0-0
HT 0-0
Araz FK
10/02/25
Azerbaijan Premier League
Araz FK0-0
HT 0-0
FK Kapaz

Standings · Azerbaijan Premier League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Neftchi Baku 6501 18515
2 Sabah 5500 14115
3 FK Qarabag 5410 9413
4 PFK Turan Tovuz 6321 6411
5 Zira IK 6312 7810
6 FK Kapaz 4202 366
7 Shamakhi FK 5131 656
8 Imisli 6114 6114
9 FK Gabala 6114 274
10 Safa Baku 6105 2113
11 Araz FK 5023 4112
12 FK Sumqayit 4013 371

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAraz FKFK Kapaz
Shamakhi FK 1-2 L 1-4 L
PFK Turan Tovuz 2-2 D 1-0 W
Sabah 0-1 L 0-2 L
Neftchi Baku 0-5 L 0-1 L
FK Sumqayit 1-2 L 1-1 D
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 4 L 1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FK Kapaz (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Araz FK

LLWWDLLLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 Shamakhi FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
1-2 1-2 78 L
13/09 PFK Turan Tovuz
Azerbaijan Premier League
1-0 2-2 34 D
06/09 FK Qarabag
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-1 2-3 44 L
31/08 Sabah
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-0 0-1 50 L
23/08 Neftchi Baku
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-4 0-5 54 L
15/08 Imisli
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-0 0-0 14 D
23/05 Zira IK
Azerbaijan Premier League
2-0 3-2 43 W
15/05 FK Kapaz
Azerbaijan Premier League
1-0 2-0 55 W
09/05 FK Sumqayit
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-1 1-2 32 L
02/05 Imisli
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-1 0-1 62 L

FK Kapaz

LWWLLLWLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 FK Sumqayit
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-1 1-1 24 D
12/09 FK Gabala
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-0 1-0 23 W
04/09 Shamakhi FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-2 1-4 210 L
30/08 PFK Turan Tovuz
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-0 1-0 16 W
15/08 Sabah
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-0 0-2 –– L
23/05 Neftchi Baku
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-0 0-1 28 L
15/05 Araz FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-1 0-2 25 L
08/05 Sabah
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-0 1-0 44 W
02/05 FK Sumqayit
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-0 2-1 64 W
26/04 Shamakhi FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-0 0-2 37 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Araz FK vs FK Kapaz?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Araz FK win (37%). Probabilities: Araz FK 37%, draw 30%, FK Kapaz 33%.

How many goals are expected in Araz FK vs FK Kapaz?

The model expects 2.4 goals (Araz FK 1.23 · FK Kapaz 1.16), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Araz FK vs FK Kapaz?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.