Prediction: Safa Baku vs Araz FK
Team pages: Safa Baku · Araz FK
| Safa Baku | Draw | Araz FK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 27% | 28% |
| Market | 45% | 28% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Safa Baku | Araz FK | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.8 | 0.9 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.4 | 2.1 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0 | 4.2 / 0.1 |
Standings · Azerbaijan Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Baku | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 21 |
| 2 | Sabah | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 4 | 20 |
| 3 | FK Qarabag | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | PFK Turan Tovuz | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 18 |
| 5 | FK Kapaz | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 17 |
| 6 | Zira IK | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 14 | 16 |
| 7 | Shamakhi FK | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 13 |
| 8 | Imisli | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 10 |
| 9 | FK Sumqayit | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 9 |
| 10 | FK Gabala | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 8 |
| 11 | Safa Baku | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 4 |
| 12 | Araz FK | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 21 | 3 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Safa Baku | Araz FK |
|---|---|---|
| FK Sumqayit | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| FK Kapaz | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Shamakhi FK | 2-3 L | 1-2 L |
| PFK Turan Tovuz | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| FK Qarabag | 0-1 L | 2-3 L |
| Sabah | 0-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Neftchi Baku | 1-4 L | 0-5 L |
| Imisli | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| FK Gabala | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Zira IK | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 8 L | 0 W 3 D 7 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Safa Baku
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | FK Sumqayit Azerbaijan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 24/10 | FK Kapaz Azerbaijan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 16/10 | Shamakhi FK Azerbaijan Premier League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 11/10 | PFK Turan Tovuz Azerbaijan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 18/09 | FK Qarabag Azerbaijan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 14/09 | Sabah Azerbaijan Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 05/09 | Neftchi Baku Azerbaijan Premier League |
0-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 29/08 | Imisli Azerbaijan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 22/08 | FK Gabala Azerbaijan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 16/08 | Zira IK Azerbaijan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
Araz FK
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Zira IK Azerbaijan Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 23/10 | FK Gabala Azerbaijan Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 16/10 | FK Sumqayit Azerbaijan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 09/10 | FK Kapaz Azerbaijan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 20/09 | Shamakhi FK Azerbaijan Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 13/09 | PFK Turan Tovuz Azerbaijan Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 06/09 | FK Qarabag Azerbaijan Premier League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 31/08 | Sabah Azerbaijan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 23/08 | Neftchi Baku Azerbaijan Premier League |
0-4 | 0-5 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | Imisli Azerbaijan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Safa Baku vs Araz FK?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Safa Baku win (45%). Probabilities: Safa Baku 45%, draw 27%, Araz FK 27%.
How many goals are expected in Safa Baku vs Araz FK?
The model expects 2.84 goals (Safa Baku 1.62 · Araz FK 1.22), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Safa Baku vs Araz FK?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.