Football · Türkiye Super Lig · 16/08, 20:30

Prediction: Besiktas vs Eyupspor

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.86Total

Besiktas2.12

Eyupspor0.74

1X2

69% 20% 11%

Besiktas Draw Eyupspor

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

2-0

Recent form · 10 last

Besiktas 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LDDWLDLWWW

Eyupspor 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLLLLWWDWD

Head-to-head

Besiktas 4–1–0 Eyupspor (5 last)

Eyupspor2-2Besiktas
Besiktas2-1Eyupspor
Eyupspor1-3Besiktas
Besiktas2-1Eyupspor
Besiktas4-0Eyupspor

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Besiktas 1558 · Eyupspor 1483

	Besiktas	Draw	Eyupspor
Our model	68%	21%	11%
Market	69%	19%	12%

Estimated total (ours) 2.86 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Besiktas (rating 1558 vs 1483).
H2H favours Besiktas: 4-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Besiktas	Eyupspor
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1	1.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.7	0.9 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.4	2.2 / 2.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.4	4.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.33

X4.75

28.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.95

2 (+1.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 06:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.33	Bet365 1.33
X	4.75 → 4.75	Pinn 5.66 ★
2	7.50 → 8.00▲	Pinn 8.23

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 8.6% Pinnacle margin 6.4%

Time*	1	X	2
00:49	1.33	4.75	7.50
06:44 +4’	1.33	4.75	8.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:49	1.34	5.37	7.66
12:10	1.31▼	5.66▲	8.23▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Besiktas 4–1–0 Eyupspor

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
26/01/26 Türkiye Super Lig	Eyupspor	2-2 HT 0-1	Besiktas
17/08/25 Türkiye Super Lig	Besiktas	2-1 HT 1-1	Eyupspor
21/02/25 Türkiye Super Lig	Eyupspor	1-3 HT 1-2	Besiktas
22/09/24 Türkiye Super Lig	Besiktas	2-1 HT 1-0	Eyupspor
16/01/24 Türkiye Cup	Besiktas	4-0 HT 2-0	Eyupspor

Standings · Türkiye Super Lig

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Alanyaspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Amedspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Besiktas	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Caykur Rizespor	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Corum Belediyespor	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Erzurumspor FK	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Eyupspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Fenerbahce	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Galatasaray	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Gazisehir Gaziantep FK	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Genclerbirligi	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Goztepe	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Istanbul Basaksehir	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kasimpasa	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kocaelispor	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Konyaspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Samsunspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Besiktas	Eyupspor
Caykur Rizespor	2-2 D	4-0 W
Trabzonspor	1-2 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Eyupspor (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Besiktas

LDDWLDLWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/08	Hradec Kralove UEFA Europa League Qualifying	0-0	1-0	5	6	W
30/07	Midtjylland UEFA Europa League Qualifying	0-0	2-0	1	7	W
23/07	Midtjylland UEFA Europa League Qualifying	1-0	1-0	5	1	W
14/07	FC Spartak Trnava Europe Friendlies	1-3	2-3	8	0	L
14/07	OFK Malzenice Europe Friendlies	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
10/07	Widzew Lodz Club Friendly List	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
10/07	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 Club Friendly List	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
05/07	MTE 1904 Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-0	10	0	D
15/05	Caykur Rizespor Türkiye Super Lig	0-2	2-2	3	5	D
09/05	Trabzonspor Türkiye Super Lig	1-1	1-2	6	3	L

Eyupspor

LLLLLWWDWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/05	Fenerbahce Türkiye Super Lig	2-0	3-3	0	7	D
09/05	Caykur Rizespor Türkiye Super Lig	3-0	4-0	3	0	W
03/05	Kayserispor Türkiye Super Lig	1-0	1-1	3	0	D
25/04	Gazisehir Gaziantep FK Türkiye Super Lig	0-0	3-0	6	4	W
18/04	Fatih Karagumruk Türkiye Super Lig	2-1	2-1	5	4	W
13/04	Samsunspor Türkiye Super Lig	1-0	1-2	2	8	L
05/04	Antalyaspor Türkiye Super Lig	0-0	0-3	4	11	L
18/03	Trabzonspor Türkiye Super Lig	0-0	0-1	1	4	L
15/03	Kasimpasa Türkiye Super Lig	0-1	0-1	2	5	L
09/03	Kocaelispor Türkiye Super Lig	0-1	0-1	3	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Besiktas vs Eyupspor?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Besiktas win (69%). Probabilities: Besiktas 69%, draw 20%, Eyupspor 11%.

How many goals are expected in Besiktas vs Eyupspor?

The model expects 2.86 goals (Besiktas 2.12 · Eyupspor 0.74), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Besiktas vs Eyupspor?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.