Football · Türkiye Super Lig · 23/08, 19:00
Prediction: Kocaelispor vs Amedspor
Team pages: Kocaelispor · Amedspor
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.44Total
Kocaelispor1.36
Amedspor1.08
1X2
Kocaelispor
Draw
Amedspor
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Kocaelispor
0-4-6 (W-D-L)
Amedspor
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Kocaelispor
1–3
Amedspor
(4 last)
- Kocaelispor1-0Amedspor
- Amedspor3-0Kocaelispor
- Kocaelispor1-2Amedspor
- Amedspor3-0Kocaelispor
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kocaelispor 1429 · Amedspor 1552
| Kocaelispor | Draw | Amedspor | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 30% | 28% |
| Market | 44% | 26% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.44 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Amedspor (rating 1429 vs 1552).
- H2H favours Amedspor: 3-0-1.
- High corners: 12 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kocaelispor | Amedspor | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.4 / 1.5 | 2.3 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.7 | 1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/50/50% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.8 | 4.2 / 8.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.1 | 4.4 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kocaelispor 1–0–3 Amedspor
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/25 Türkiye 1 Lig | Kocaelispor | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Amedspor |
| 02/09/24 Türkiye 1 Lig | Amedspor | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Kocaelispor |
| 24/03/21 Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz | Kocaelispor | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Amedspor |
| 18/11/20 Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz | Amedspor | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Kocaelispor |
Standings · Türkiye Super Lig
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | Samsunspor | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | Kasimpasa | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Amedspor | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Istanbul Basaksehir | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Fenerbahce | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 7 | Genclerbirligi | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Besiktas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Caykur Rizespor | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Goztepe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 11 | Alanyaspor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Gazisehir Gaziantep FK | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 13 | Trabzonspor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 14 | Corum Belediyespor | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 15 | Eyupspor | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | Kocaelispor | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Konyaspor | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 | Erzurumspor FK | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kocaelispor
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Istanbul Basaksehir Türkiye Super Lig |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Antalyaspor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 12 | L |
| 09/05 | Fatih Karagumruk Türkiye Super Lig |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 03/05 | Kasimpasa Türkiye Super Lig |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 26/04 | Genclerbirligi Türkiye Super Lig |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | Goztepe Türkiye Super Lig |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 12 | D |
| 12/04 | Galatasaray Türkiye Super Lig |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 06/04 | Istanbul Basaksehir Türkiye Super Lig |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 18/03 | Alanyaspor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-2 | 0-5 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 14/03 | Konyaspor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
Amedspor
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Erzurumspor FK Türkiye Super Lig |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 16/07 | Dinamo Batumi Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | 76 Igdir Belediyespor Türkiye 1 Lig |
2-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 26/04 | Bodrum FK Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 7 | D |
| 19/04 | Bandirmaspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 13/04 | Umraniyespor Türkiye 1 Lig |
1-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 09/04 | Esenler Erokspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 05/04 | Boluspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
3-0 | 6-1 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 22/03 | Hatayspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 15/03 | Manisa BBSK Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 2-0 | 17 | 8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kocaelispor vs Amedspor?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Kocaelispor win (43%). Probabilities: Kocaelispor 43%, draw 28%, Amedspor 29%.
How many goals are expected in Kocaelispor vs Amedspor?
The model expects 2.44 goals (Kocaelispor 1.36 · Amedspor 1.08), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Kocaelispor vs Amedspor?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.