Football · Türkiye Super Lig · 23/08, 18:00

Prediction: Trabzonspor vs Istanbul Basaksehir

Team pages: Trabzonspor · Istanbul Basaksehir

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.84Total
Trabzonspor1.58
Istanbul Basaksehir1.26
1X2
44% 27% 29%
Trabzonspor Draw Istanbul Basaksehir
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Trabzonspor 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
WWWDDLDWLD
Istanbul Basaksehir 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
LDDWDWLWWW
Head-to-head
Trabzonspor 5–1–0 Istanbul Basaksehir (6 last)
  • Trabzonspor1-1Istanbul Basaksehir
  • Istanbul Basaksehir2-4Trabzonspor
  • Istanbul Basaksehir3-4Trabzonspor
  • Istanbul Basaksehir0-3Trabzonspor
  • Trabzonspor1-0Istanbul Basaksehir
  • Istanbul Basaksehir0-1Trabzonspor
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Trabzonspor 1514 · Istanbul Basaksehir 1527
TrabzonsporDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
Our model44%27%29%
Market44%27%29%
Estimated total (ours) 2.84 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Trabzonspor: 5-1-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

TrabzonsporIstanbul Basaksehir
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.11.6 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.51.1 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 5.32.5 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.8 / 0.13.5 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Trabzonspor 510 Istanbul Basaksehir

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DateHomeScoreAway
19/04/26
Türkiye Super Lig
Trabzonspor1-1
HT 0-0
Istanbul Basaksehir
03/03/26
Türkiye Cup
Istanbul Basaksehir2-4
HT 0-1
Trabzonspor
24/11/25
Türkiye Super Lig
Istanbul Basaksehir3-4
HT 2-1
Trabzonspor
15/03/25
Türkiye Super Lig
Istanbul Basaksehir0-3
HT 0-1
Trabzonspor
19/10/24
Türkiye Super Lig
Trabzonspor1-0
HT 0-0
Istanbul Basaksehir
18/05/24
Türkiye Super Lig
Istanbul Basaksehir0-1
HT 0-1
Trabzonspor

Standings · Türkiye Super Lig

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Galatasaray 2110 624
2 Amedspor 1100 303
3 Istanbul Basaksehir 1100 203
4 Genclerbirligi 1100 213
5 Besiktas 1100 103
5 Caykur Rizespor 1100 103
7 Goztepe 1010 331
7 Samsunspor 1010 331
9 Corum Belediyespor 1010 221
10 Alanyaspor 1010 111
10 Gazisehir Gaziantep FK 1010 111
10 Kasimpasa 1010 111
10 Trabzonspor 1010 111
14 Fenerbahce 1001 120
15 Eyupspor 1001 010
15 Konyaspor 1001 010
17 Kocaelispor 1001 020
18 Erzurumspor FK 2002 070

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentTrabzonsporIstanbul Basaksehir
Kasimpasa 1-1 D 4-0 W
Genclerbirligi 0-3 L 3-0 W
Galatasaray 2-1 W 0-3 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 1 L 2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Istanbul Basaksehir (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Trabzonspor

WWWDDLDWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Kasimpasa
Türkiye Super Lig
1-0 1-1 102 D
17/05 Genclerbirligi
Türkiye Super Lig
0-1 0-3 52 L
09/05 Besiktas
Türkiye Super Lig
1-1 2-1 33 W
02/05 Goztepe
Türkiye Super Lig
0-1 1-1 410 D
27/04 Konyaspor
Türkiye Super Lig
0-2 1-2 54 L
19/04 Istanbul Basaksehir
Türkiye Super Lig
0-0 1-1 52 D
11/04 Alanyaspor
Türkiye Super Lig
0-0 1-1 54 D
04/04 Galatasaray
Türkiye Super Lig
1-0 2-1 36 W
18/03 Eyupspor
Türkiye Super Lig
0-0 1-0 54 W
14/03 Caykur Rizespor
Türkiye Super Lig
0-0 1-0 82 W

Istanbul Basaksehir

LDDWDWLWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/08 Kocaelispor
Türkiye Super Lig
1-0 2-0 84 W
16/05 Gazisehir Gaziantep FK
Türkiye Super Lig
2-0 2-1 35 W
09/05 Samsunspor
Türkiye Super Lig
2-0 3-0 24 W
02/05 Fenerbahce
Türkiye Super Lig
1-1 1-3 24 L
24/04 Kasimpasa
Türkiye Super Lig
2-0 4-0 65 W
19/04 Trabzonspor
Türkiye Super Lig
0-0 1-1 82 D
11/04 Genclerbirligi
Türkiye Super Lig
3-0 3-0 43 W
06/04 Kocaelispor
Türkiye Super Lig
0-0 0-0 81 D
18/03 Antalyaspor
Türkiye Super Lig
0-0 0-0 27 D
14/03 Galatasaray
Türkiye Super Lig
0-0 0-3 32 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Trabzonspor vs Istanbul Basaksehir?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Trabzonspor win (44%). Probabilities: Trabzonspor 44%, draw 27%, Istanbul Basaksehir 29%.

How many goals are expected in Trabzonspor vs Istanbul Basaksehir?

The model expects 2.84 goals (Trabzonspor 1.58 · Istanbul Basaksehir 1.26), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Trabzonspor vs Istanbul Basaksehir?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.