Football · Türkiye Super Lig · 23/08, 18:00

Prediction: Goztepe vs Genclerbirligi

Team pages: Goztepe · Genclerbirligi

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.65Total
Goztepe1.74
Genclerbirligi0.9
1X2
56% 25% 18%
Goztepe Draw Genclerbirligi
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Goztepe 3-5-2 (W-D-L)
DWLDDWDWLD
Genclerbirligi 4-0-6 (W-D-L)
LLLLLWLWWW
Head-to-head
Goztepe 4–1–1 Genclerbirligi (6 last)
  • Genclerbirligi0-2Goztepe
  • Goztepe1-0Genclerbirligi
  • Goztepe2-0Genclerbirligi
  • Genclerbirligi0-3Goztepe
  • Genclerbirligi1-0Goztepe
  • Goztepe0-0Genclerbirligi
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Goztepe 1577 · Genclerbirligi 1494
GoztepeDrawGenclerbirligi
Our model56%26%18%
Market57%25%19%
Estimated total (ours) 2.65 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Goztepe (rating 1577 vs 1494).
  • H2H favours Goztepe: 4-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

GoztepeGenclerbirligi
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 1.71 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.70.5 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/20/30%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 4.51.5 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.6 / 0.44.2 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Goztepe 411 Genclerbirligi

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
04/04/26
Türkiye Super Lig
Genclerbirligi0-2
HT 0-1
Goztepe
01/11/25
Türkiye Super Lig
Goztepe1-0
HT 1-0
Genclerbirligi
28/04/24
Türkiye 1 Lig
Goztepe2-0
HT 0-0
Genclerbirligi
10/12/23
Türkiye 1 Lig
Genclerbirligi0-3
HT 0-0
Goztepe
05/02/23
Türkiye 1 Lig
Genclerbirligi1-0
HT 1-0
Goztepe
02/09/22
Türkiye 1 Lig
Goztepe0-0
HT 0-0
Genclerbirligi

Standings · Türkiye Super Lig

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Galatasaray 2110 624
2 Amedspor 1100 303
3 Istanbul Basaksehir 1100 203
4 Genclerbirligi 1100 213
5 Besiktas 1100 103
5 Caykur Rizespor 1100 103
7 Goztepe 1010 331
7 Samsunspor 1010 331
9 Corum Belediyespor 1010 221
10 Alanyaspor 1010 111
10 Gazisehir Gaziantep FK 1010 111
10 Kasimpasa 1010 111
10 Trabzonspor 1010 111
14 Fenerbahce 1001 120
15 Eyupspor 1001 010
15 Konyaspor 1001 010
17 Kocaelispor 1001 020
18 Erzurumspor FK 2002 070

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentGoztepeGenclerbirligi
Trabzonspor 1-1 D 3-0 W
Kocaelispor 1-1 D 1-0 W
Kasimpasa 3-3 D 3-2 W
Galatasaray 1-3 L 1-2 L
Record vs common 0 W 3 D 1 L 3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Genclerbirligi (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Goztepe

DWLDDWDWLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/08 Samsunspor
Türkiye Super Lig
1-2 3-3 84 D
16/05 Samsunspor
Türkiye Super Lig
0-1 0-3 47 L
09/05 Gazisehir Gaziantep FK
Türkiye Super Lig
1-0 2-1 84 W
02/05 Trabzonspor
Türkiye Super Lig
1-0 1-1 310 D
25/04 Antalyaspor
Türkiye Super Lig
2-0 2-0 42 W
18/04 Kocaelispor
Türkiye Super Lig
1-0 1-1 012 D
12/04 Kasimpasa
Türkiye Super Lig
1-1 3-3 47 D
08/04 Galatasaray
Türkiye Super Lig
0-2 1-3 41 L
04/04 Genclerbirligi
Türkiye Super Lig
1-0 2-0 57 W
14/03 Alanyaspor
Türkiye Super Lig
1-1 2-2 56 D

Genclerbirligi

LLLLLWLWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Fenerbahce
Türkiye Super Lig
1-1 2-1 11 W
17/05 Trabzonspor
Türkiye Super Lig
1-0 3-0 32 W
09/05 Kasimpasa
Türkiye Super Lig
2-2 3-2 513 W
03/05 Fatih Karagumruk
Türkiye Super Lig
0-1 0-1 64 L
26/04 Kocaelispor
Türkiye Super Lig
1-0 1-0 12 W
18/04 Galatasaray
Türkiye Super Lig
0-2 1-2 24 L
11/04 Istanbul Basaksehir
Türkiye Super Lig
0-3 0-3 23 L
04/04 Goztepe
Türkiye Super Lig
0-1 0-2 67 L
19/03 Konyaspor
Türkiye Super Lig
0-0 0-1 33 L
15/03 Besiktas
Türkiye Super Lig
0-0 0-2 64 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Goztepe vs Genclerbirligi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Goztepe win (56%). Probabilities: Goztepe 56%, draw 25%, Genclerbirligi 18%.

How many goals are expected in Goztepe vs Genclerbirligi?

The model expects 2.65 goals (Goztepe 1.74 · Genclerbirligi 0.9), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Goztepe vs Genclerbirligi?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.